Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_score)
With 18.15 VVV at 11.63$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 12.0708 (3.79 %)
04 Aug 2026 at 20:10:05
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
04 Aug 2026 20:10
→ 23:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 11.63$
Qty 18.1474 VVV
Size 211.0542$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 211.05$
SL 12.0708 (-3.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-0.64%
/ -1.36$
MAE -1.51%
MFE +0.30%
0.1R
expires
04 Aug 23:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58800)
#22 / 45
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 20:00
score du 04/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2358
Quality Score
0.497
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 20:02
04/08 20:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#22 / 45
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#22 / 45
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.47×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.95×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.39×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 04/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1296
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué :
04/08 20:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
04/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4970
Score SMA
0.5164
Rank
#22
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2358
Rank Norm SMA
0.4822
Calculé le
04/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3444 | r1h: -0.976% · r4h: -2.611% · r1d: -6.17% · r3d: 0.77% · ema21_slope: -0.1031% · dist_ema21: -2.591% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3078 | rs_1h: -0.870% · rs_4h: -2.568% · rs_1d: -7.24% · rs_3d: -1.44% · beta_24h: 1.123 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6411 | rvol_20: 2.30× · zscore_50: 0.688 · trend: 29.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5899 | ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 46.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.355% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.790%
(0.4408)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.301% | 0.1R | -0.353% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.301% | 0.1R | -1.221% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.301% | 0.1R | -1.513% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.301% | 0.1R | -1.513% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.688% | 0.2R | -1.513% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.471% | 1.2R | -1.513% | 0.4R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.41
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.55% | +0.85 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.49 | range_high | +0.65% | -0.25 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.44 | bull_medium | +0.91% | -0.46 | 04/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.41% | -0.19 | 04/08 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.775×ATR | p17 | -0.122×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.731×ATR | p14 | -0.771×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.904×ATR | p78 | -1.217×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.813×ATR | p49 | -1.241×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.63 | 12.0708 | 29.951 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.63
- Stop Loss: 12.0708
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.0708 - 11.63 = 0.4408
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.63 - = 11.63
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.63 / 0.4408 = 26.3838
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 211.0542 | 100 | 18.1474 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.4408
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4408 = 18.15
Taille de position USD = 18.15 x 11.63 = 211.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 18.15 avec un stoploss a 12.0708
Avec un position size USD de 211.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 18.15 x 0.4408 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 18.15 x 11.63 = 211.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 211.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position 18.15
- Taille de position USD 211.08
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 211.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 26.3838
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 211.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.36 $ | -0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5133 % | 39.93 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.63 | 12.0708 | 29.951 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.63
- Stop Loss: 12.0708
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.0708 - 11.63 = 0.4408
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.63 - = 11.63
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.63 / 0.4408 = 26.3838
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.790%
(0.4408)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.301% | 0.1R | -0.353% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.301% | 0.1R | -1.221% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.301% | 0.1R | -1.513% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.301% | 0.1R | -1.513% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.688% | 0.2R | -1.513% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.471% | 1.2R | -1.513% | 0.4R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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