Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 321285.14 PUMP at 0.00239$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00244 (2.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002365 (1.05 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 321285.14 PUMP at 0.00239$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00244 (2.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002365 (1.05 %)
Position
Entry 0.00239$
Qty 321285.1406 PUMP
Size 767.8715$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00244 (+2.09%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.002365 (-1.05%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9293
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.26×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 20:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.198343 15m : 0.437656 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8159 | r1h: -0.817% · r4h: 1.040% · r1d: 13.78% · r3d: 14.85% · ema21_slope: 0.4555% · dist_ema21: 4.893% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7234 | rs_1h: -0.711% · rs_4h: 1.084% · rs_1d: 12.70% · rs_3d: 12.65% · beta_24h: 3.261 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3203 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.330 · trend: 56.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7851 | ADX: 34.2 (trend) · Chop: 26.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.472% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.134% | 2.0R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 25.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.385% | 2.3R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 28.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.594% | 2.5R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 31.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.485% | 6.2R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 77.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.490% | 7.2R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 89.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -4.59% | +1.00 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_high | +0.12% | +0.82 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.37 | range_medium | +0.68% | +0.69 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.36 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.06 | 04/08 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 5.759×ATR | p90 | +1.349×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.058×ATR | p65 | +1.249×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.429×ATR | p46 | +0.324×ATR | p34 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 4.709×ATR | p88 | -0.621×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64126.8
-0.00211868
63991
0.198343
63925.1
0.000529418
63959
0.437656
63445.3
0.00932463
64037
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0.002559
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0.7025
0.7359
0.2382
0.1404
1
1.153
2.4384
0.85
0.15
1
4
1
0.569
0.7477
5.6449
0.55
4.8116
7.7417
2.4384
0.1354
0.3489
0.9
0.4475
0.5252
0.4478
0.7335
0.7359
-2.33
6.494
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 17:55:00 | 0.002237 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:30:00 | 0.00245 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:55:00 | 0.002559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 21:15:00 | 0.002482 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 21:25:00 | 0.002551 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 22:45:00 | 0.002433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 23:10:00 | 0.00247 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.002451 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:05:00 | 0.002409 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:50:00 | 0.002386 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 07:15:00 | 0.002197 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:45:00 | 0.002275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:15:00 | 0.002211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:45:00 | 0.002268 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 11:45:00 | 0.002264 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:15:00 | 0.002224 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 0.002296 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:45:00 | 0.002227 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:45:00 | 0.002559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:45:00 | 0.002392 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 0.002129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.002186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:00:00 | 0.002044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:00:00 | 0.002148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.002104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.002275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.002559 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00239 | 0.002365 | 0.00244 | 2 | 0.004178 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002365 - 0.00239 = -2.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00239 - 0.00244 = -5.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.0E-5 / -2.5E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 767.8715 | 100 | 321285.1406 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.5E-5 = -320000
Taille de position USD = -320000 x 0.00239 = -764.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -320000 avec un stoploss a 0.002365
Avec un position size USD de -764.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -320000 x -2.5E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -320000 x -5.0E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.09 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.05 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.06 $ | 2.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0837 % | 8 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00239 | 0.002365 | 0.00244 | 2 | 0.004178 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002365 - 0.00239 = -2.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00239 - 0.00244 = -5.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.0E-5 / -2.5E-5 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.134% | 2.0R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 25.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.385% | 2.3R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 28.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.594% | 2.5R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 31.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.485% | 6.2R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 77.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.490% | 7.2R | -0.084% | 0.1R | 89.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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