Long Trade on TAO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.69 TAO at 196.1$ per unit. Take profit: 207.9132 (6.02 %) & Stop Loss: 191.3747 (2.41 %)
04 Aug 2026 at 21:15:21
hyperliquid
TAO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
04 Aug 2026 21:15
→ 09:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 196.1$
Qty 1.693 TAO
Size 332.0022$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 207.9132 (+6.02%)
TP $ 20$
SL 191.3747 (-2.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.28%
/ -0.91$
MAE -0.32%
MFE +2.19%
0.9R
expires
05 Aug 09:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58836)
#8 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 21:00
score du 04/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9036
Quality Score
0.573
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 21:01
04/08 21:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 21:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 20:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1297
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué :
04/08 21:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
04/08/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.5726
Score SMA
0.5417
Rank
#8
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9036
Rank Norm SMA
0.4984
Calculé le
04/08/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5577 | r1h: 0.250% · r4h: -1.283% · r1d: 3.30% · r3d: 2.06% · ema21_slope: 0.1440% · dist_ema21: 1.037% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5232 | rs_1h: 0.299% · rs_4h: -0.846% · rs_1d: 2.20% · rs_3d: 0.11% · beta_24h: 1.104 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2966 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.134 · trend: 26.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7675 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 29.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.028% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.410%
(4.7253)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.402% | 0.6R | -0.194% | 0.1R | 7.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.194% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.194% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.194% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.321% | 0.1R | 6.8× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.959% | 0.4R | 2.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.36
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.23 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.70 | range_high | +0.12% | +0.04 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.63 | range_medium | +0.68% | +0.24 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.19% | -0.14 | 04/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 51b | — | 10.577×ATR | p92 | +0.274×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.618×ATR | p30 | +0.582×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.435×ATR | p40 | +0.152×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.931×ATR | p3 | -0.123×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7919
- reason: up_bo width=2.18×ATR dur=53b phase=extending
- stop_price: 191.37473026
- tp_price: 207.91317434
- atr:
- score: 0.79189264156177
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T13:15:13.430046
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79189264156177
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1493
- obi_top10 : 0.1493
- micro_price : 195.54404798
- spread_pct : 0.005114
- mid_price : 195.545
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.14
- obi_top5_std : 0.0107
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7144
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
193.64
- balance_zone_bottom:
189.49
- balance_zone_mid:
191.565
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785704400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785891600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1811
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
53
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7919
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785866400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
193.64
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6792
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2929
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 1.90269737 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
53
inside_close_ratio
0.6792
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2929
Signaux confirmants (14)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:15 | 196.10000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:21 | 195.63000000 | -0.24% |
| 3 | 21:27 | 195.63000000 | -0.24% |
| 4 | 21:33 | 195.63000000 | -0.24% |
| 5 | 21:39 | 196.39000000 | +0.148% |
| 6 | 21:45 | 196.39000000 | +0.148% |
| 7 | 21:50 | 196.65000000 | +0.28% |
| 8 | 21:56 | 196.65000000 | +0.28% |
| 9 | 22:04 | 196.65000000 | +0.28% |
| 10 | 22:09 | 197.97000000 | +0.954% |
| 11 | 22:15 | 197.97000000 | +0.954% |
| 12 | 22:21 | 198.61000000 | +1.28% |
| 13 | 22:27 | 198.61000000 | +1.28% |
| 14 | 22:33 | 198.61000000 | +1.28% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7144ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.149
avg 0.140
± 0.011
OBI Top 10
0.149
Microstructure
Mid Price
195.5450
Micro Price
195.5440
Spread
0.0051%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.1 | 191.3747 | 207.9132 | 2.5 | 307.5 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 196.1
- Stop Loss: 191.3747
- Take Profit: 207.9132
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 191.3747 - 196.1 = -4.7253
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.1 - 207.9132 = -11.8132
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.8132 / -4.7253 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 332.0022 | 100 | 1.693 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -4.7253
Taille de position = 8 / -4.7253 = -1.69
Taille de position USD = -1.69 x 196.1 = -331.41
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.69 avec un stoploss a 191.3747
Avec un position size USD de -331.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.69 x -4.7253 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.69 x -11.8132 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.69
- Taille de position USD -331.41
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.02 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.91 $ | -0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3213 % | 13.33 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.1 | 191.3747 | 207.9132 | 2.5 | 307.5 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 196.1
- Stop Loss: 191.3747
- Take Profit: 207.9132
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 191.3747 - 196.1 = -4.7253
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.1 - 207.9132 = -11.8132
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.8132 / -4.7253 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.410%
(4.7253)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.402% | 0.6R | -0.194% | 0.1R | 7.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.194% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.194% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.194% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.321% | 0.1R | 6.8× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.193% | 0.9R | -0.959% | 0.4R | 2.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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