04 Aug 2026 at 23:10:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 6.36 HYPE at 56.154$ per unit. Take profit: 57.5579 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 54.896 (2.24 %)

HYPE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 04 Aug 2026 23:10 → 00:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 56.154$

Qty 6.3593 HYPE

Size 357.1007$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 57.5579 (+2.5%)

TP $ 8.93$

SL 54.896 (-2.24%)

SL $ 8$

RR 1.12

Status loss PnL -0.24% / -0.84$ MAE -0.82% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 05 Aug 00:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=11 > threshold=10/44

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 58928)
#6 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7047

Quality Score
0.621
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
228.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#6 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.24 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.24 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.67×ATR
4h near -1.19×ATR
1d clear 4.32×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_low

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

04/08 23:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

04/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

04/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

04/08 22:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1299
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical bull expansion — +1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.70
Snapshot évalué : 04/08 23:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 04/08/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6213
Score SMA
0.5720
Rank
#6 / 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7047
Rank Norm SMA
0.7702
Calculé le
04/08/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6564 r1h: 1.196% · r4h: 1.471% · r1d: 3.08% · r3d: 5.75% · ema21_slope: 0.0748% · dist_ema21: 1.563%
Force Relative 25% 0.6299 rs_1h: 1.033% · rs_4h: 1.211% · rs_1d: 2.13% · rs_3d: 4.21% · beta_24h: 0.957
Volume 20% 0.4011 rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 0.477 · trend: -4.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5776 ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 60.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.852% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -2.240% (1.2580)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.816% 0.4R 0.0× 12
1.2h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -0.816% 0.4R 0.0× 13
2h +1.101% 0.5R -0.816% 0.4R 1.4× 24
4h +1.945% 0.9R -0.816% 0.4R 2.4× 48
8h +3.042% 1.4R -0.816% 0.4R 3.7× 96
12h +3.042% 1.4R -0.816% 0.4R 3.7× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 2.57
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.47 bear_high -4.59% -0.77 04/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 43% mid — near -1.2ATR 0.61 bull_high +0.77% +0.33 04/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near -0.7ATR 0.54 bull_medium_confirmed +1.22% +0.17 04/08 22:00
15m ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate fading normal bull_medium
59%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.53 range_low +0.68% +0.08 04/08 22:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 29b — 6.211×ATR p86 +0.101×ATR p11
4h ↑ up mid 16b — 4.596×ATR p69 +0.733×ATR p65
1h ↑ up mid 1b — 2.617×ATR p59 +1.175×ATR p85
15m ↑ up late 7b — 5.425×ATR p89 +1.624×ATR p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 54.89600177
  2. tp_price: 57.55785
  3. atr: 0.50319929
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-05T09:10:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 45
  3. score: 0.6564
  4. delta_2h: 0.1152
  5. extension_atr: 1.82
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7047
  9. confidence: 0.959

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
56.154 54.896 57.5579 1.12 92.146
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 56.154
  • Stop Loss: 54.896
  • Take Profit: 57.5579

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 54.896 - 56.154 = -1.258

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 56.154 - 57.5579 = -1.4039

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4039 / -1.258 = 1.116

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
357.1007 100 6.3593 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.258

Taille de position = 8 / -1.258 = -6.36

Taille de position USD = -6.36 x 56.154 = -357.14

Donc, tu peux acheter -6.36 avec un stoploss a 54.896

Avec un position size USD de -357.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -6.36 x -1.258 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -6.36 x -1.4039 = 8.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.93$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -6.36
  • Taille de position USD -357.14
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 8.93
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.116

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 8.93 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.84 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8156 % 36.41 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
56.154 54.896 57.5579 1.12 92.146
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 56.154
  • Stop Loss: 54.896
  • Take Profit: 57.5579

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 54.896 - 56.154 = -1.258

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 56.154 - 57.5579 = -1.4039

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4039 / -1.258 = 1.116

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 57.5579
            [entry_price] => 56.154
            [stop_loss] => 54.7702
            [rr_ratio] => 1.01
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 08:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 57.5579
            [entry_price] => 56.154
            [stop_loss] => 54.6444
            [rr_ratio] => 0.93
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 08:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 57.5579
            [entry_price] => 56.154
            [stop_loss] => 54.5186
            [rr_ratio] => 0.86
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 08:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 57.5579
            [entry_price] => 56.154
            [stop_loss] => 54.267
            [rr_ratio] => 0.74
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 08:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -2.240% (1.2580)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.816% 0.4R 0.0× 12
1.2h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -0.816% 0.4R 0.0× 13
2h +1.101% 0.5R -0.816% 0.4R 1.4× 24
4h +1.945% 0.9R -0.816% 0.4R 2.4× 48
8h +3.042% 1.4R -0.816% 0.4R 3.7× 96
12h +3.042% 1.4R -0.816% 0.4R 3.7× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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