Short Trade on UNI (CatchTheWave)
With 301.79 UNI at 3.939$ per unit. Take profit: 3.8862 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 3.9657 (0.67 %)
Short Trade on UNI (CatchTheWave)
With 301.79 UNI at 3.939$ per unit. Take profit: 3.8862 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 3.9657 (0.67 %)
Position
Entry 3.9392$
Qty 301.7875 UNI
Size 1188.8013$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 3.8862 (+1.35%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 3.9657 (-0.67%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2359
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.14×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.37×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 04/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.504055 15m : 0.47253 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 04/08 23:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5045 | r1h: 1.868% · r4h: 0.593% · r1d: 0.05% · r3d: -5.69% · ema21_slope: -0.0480% · dist_ema21: 0.768% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5064 | rs_1h: 1.705% · rs_4h: 0.333% · rs_1d: -0.90% · rs_3d: -7.23% · beta_24h: 1.141 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1646 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.620 · trend: -45.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5918 | ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 55.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.137% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.840% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.840% | 1.3R | -1.038% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.840% | 1.3R | -1.038% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.840% | 1.3R | -1.650% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.840% | 1.3R | -5.494% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.68 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +0.77% | -0.53 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | bull_medium | +1.07% | +0.01 | 04/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.32 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.15 | 04/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 3.056×ATR | p13 | -0.416×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 3.344×ATR | p55 | +0.251×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.316×ATR | p41 | +1.202×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2×ATR | p12 | +0.783×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64208.8
-0.00154001
64110
0.504055
64030.2
0.00101095
64095
0.47253
63488.5
0.00930006
64079
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3.825
196
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1.0426
-0.1993
0.3
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-1
13
1
0.5389
0.5059
3.0988
0.5
0.7171
2.2221
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0.6221
0.2206
0.32
-0.0842
0.4298
0.4227
0.6785
0.184
-13.6401
3.0766
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 19:20:00 | 3.933 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:25:00 | 3.8607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 21:10:00 | 3.8541 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:00:00 | 3.8472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:55:00 | 3.8867 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:25:00 | 3.825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 01:10:00 | 3.8533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:30:00 | 3.8317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:10:00 | 3.961 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 06:15:00 | 3.9253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:15:00 | 3.8517 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:30:00 | 3.8271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:45:00 | 3.891 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 3.7824 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:15:00 | 3.933 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 22:00:00 | 3.8472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:45:00 | 3.8867 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:15:00 | 3.825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 3.961 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 4.1839 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 4.0109 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:00:00 | 4.1175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 3.8732 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:00:00 | 3.9481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:00:00 | 3.8081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 3.7824 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 3.933 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 3.825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 3.961 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9392 | 3.9657 | 3.8862 | 2 | 9.2499 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.9657 - 3.9392 = 0.0265
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.9392 - 3.8862 = 0.053
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.053 / 0.0265 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1188.8013 | 100 | 301.7875 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0265 = 301.89
Taille de position USD = 301.89 x 3.9392 = 1189.21
Donc, tu peux acheter 301.89 avec un stoploss a 3.9657
Avec un position size USD de 1189.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 301.89 x 0.0265 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 301.89 x 0.053 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.35 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0383 % | 154.35 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9392 | 3.9657 | 3.8862 | 2 | 9.2499 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.9657 - 3.9392 = 0.0265
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.9392 - 3.8862 = 0.053
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.053 / 0.0265 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.840% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.840% | 1.3R | -1.038% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.840% | 1.3R | -1.038% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.840% | 1.3R | -1.650% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.840% | 1.3R | -5.494% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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