Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.59 ZEC at 518.93$ per unit. Take profit: 531.9033 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 505.418 (2.6 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.59 ZEC at 518.93$ per unit. Take profit: 531.9033 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 505.418 (2.6 %)
Position
Entry 518.93$
Qty 0.5921 ZEC
Size 307.2411$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 531.9033 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.68$
SL 505.418 (-2.6%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.96
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9184
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7254 | r1h: 0.926% · r4h: 1.153% · r1d: 5.85% · r3d: 9.22% · ema21_slope: 0.2465% · dist_ema21: 2.766% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6780 | rs_1h: 0.650% · rs_4h: 1.120% · rs_1d: 4.99% · rs_3d: 7.81% · beta_24h: 1.956 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1971 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.714 · trend: -16.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7855 | ADX: 37.3 (trend) · Chop: 41.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.102% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.353% | 0.1R | -0.530% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.353% | 0.1R | -0.740% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.353% | 0.1R | -0.740% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.353% | 0.1R | -1.016% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.351% | 0.5R | -1.016% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.351% | 0.5R | -1.016% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.40 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.67 | range_high | +0.54% | +0.71 | 05/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bull_medium | +1.04% | +0.48 | 05/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | +0.50% | +0.20 | 05/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 21b | — | 2.974×ATR | p0 | +0.611×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.5×ATR | p70 | +1.453×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.586×ATR | p13 | +1.193×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.108×ATR | p63 | +0.77×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:10 | 518.93000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:10 | 519.65000000 | +0.139% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518.93 | 505.418 | 531.9033 | 0.96 | 1515.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 505.418 - 518.93 = -13.512
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 518.93 - 531.9033 = -12.9733
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -12.9733 / -13.512 = 0.9601
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 307.2411 | 100 | 0.5921 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -13.512 = -0.59
Taille de position USD = -0.59 x 518.93 = -306.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.59 avec un stoploss a 505.418
Avec un position size USD de -306.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.59 x -13.512 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.59 x -12.9733 = 7.65
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.65$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.68 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.4 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0156 % | 39 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518.93 | 505.418 | 531.9033 | 0.96 | 1515.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 505.418 - 518.93 = -13.512
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 518.93 - 531.9033 = -12.9733
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -12.9733 / -13.512 = 0.9601
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.353% | 0.1R | -0.530% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.353% | 0.1R | -0.740% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.353% | 0.1R | -0.740% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.353% | 0.1R | -1.016% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.351% | 0.5R | -1.016% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.351% | 0.5R | -1.016% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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