Long Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 9491.38 XPL at 0.0785$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0806 (2.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07765 (1.07 %)
Long Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 9491.38 XPL at 0.0785$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0806 (2.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07765 (1.07 %)
Position
Entry 0.07849$
Qty 9491.3806 XPL
Size 744.9595$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0806 (+2.69%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.07765 (-1.07%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.51
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7897
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 8.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.91×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 05/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5345 | r1h: -0.701% · r4h: 0.165% · r1d: 2.14% · r3d: 2.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0869% · dist_ema21: 0.084% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5020 | rs_1h: -0.659% · rs_4h: 0.223% · rs_1d: 1.27% · rs_3d: 1.07% · beta_24h: 1.755 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3399 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.537 · trend: 81.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6188 | ADX: 38.7 (trend) · Chop: 63.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.131% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.169% | 0.2R | -0.636% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.169% | 0.2R | -0.763% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.169% | 0.2R | -1.023% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.169% | 0.2R | -2.793% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.169% | 0.2R | -4.445% | 4.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.07% | -0.71 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | range_high | +0.31% | +0.08 | 05/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.6ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.55 | range_medium | +0.66% | +0.17 | 05/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.48 | range_low | +0.11% | -0.03 | 05/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 32b | — | 6.368×ATR | p85 | +0.243×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 22b | — | 3.899×ATR | p77 | +0.408×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.591×ATR | p6 | -0.195×ATR | p17 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.793×ATR | p0 | -0.69×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.079925
145
0.7121
0.5281
0.3186
0.2486
0.3758
1
0.3922
0.5422
0.663
0.7079
0.6381
0.7946
0.078
0.0673
1
0.0944
0.9661
0.55
0.45
1
4
1
0.5028
0.439
3.4521
0.55
1.6855
2.7006
0.9661
0.6138
0.2487
0.64
0.1859
0.5275
0.5074
0.9188
0.7946
-1.8327
7.0899
1
0
0
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0.077722
0.079925
0.079925
0.077722
0.077763
0.076643
0.077203
0.8351
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:10 | 0.07848800 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 05:34 | 0.07846300 | -0.034% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07849 | 0.07765 | 0.0806 | 2.51 | 0.09716 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07765 - 0.07849 = -0.00084000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07849 - 0.0806 = -0.00211
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00211 / -0.00084000000000001 = 2.5119
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 744.9595 | 100 | 9491.3806 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00084000000000001 = -9523.81
Taille de position USD = -9523.81 x 0.07849 = -747.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -9523.81 avec un stoploss a 0.07765
Avec un position size USD de -747.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9523.81 x -0.00084000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9523.81 x -0.00211 = 20.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.1$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.69 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.07 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -1.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5481 % | 238.1 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07849 | 0.07765 | 0.0806 | 2.51 | 0.09716 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07765 - 0.07849 = -0.00084000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07849 - 0.0806 = -0.00211
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00211 / -0.00084000000000001 = 2.5119
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.169% | 0.2R | -0.636% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.169% | 0.2R | -0.763% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.169% | 0.2R | -1.023% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.169% | 0.2R | -2.793% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.169% | 0.2R | -4.445% | 4.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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