Long Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.01 BNB at 598.48$ per unit. Take profit: 618.1918 (3.29 %) & Stop Loss: 590.5953 (1.32 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 05:36:46
hyperliquid
BNB
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 05:36
→ 17:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 598.48$
Qty 1.0146 BNB
Size 607.229$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 618.1918 (+3.29%)
TP $ 20$
SL 590.5953 (-1.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.44%
/ -2.65$
MAE -0.60%
MFE +0.86%
0.7R
expires
05 Aug 17:36
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59161)
#8 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 05:00
score du 05/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8488
Quality Score
0.600
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 05:30
05/08 05:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.62×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.10×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 05:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5995
Score SMA
0.5567
Rank
#8
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8488
Rank Norm SMA
0.6040
Calculé le
05/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5524 | r1h: 0.020% · r4h: 0.109% · r1d: 1.73% · r3d: 2.79% · ema21_slope: 0.0741% · dist_ema21: 0.508% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5275 | rs_1h: 0.062% · rs_4h: 0.166% · rs_1d: 0.86% · rs_3d: 1.30% · beta_24h: 1.099 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4242 | rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: 0.455 · trend: 27.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7805 | ADX: 37.2 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.503% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.318%
(7.8847)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.077% | 0.1R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.077% | 0.1R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.264% | 0.2R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.862% | 0.7R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.862% | 0.7R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.862% | 0.7R | -1.171% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.81 | bear_high | -4.07% | +0.39 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.82 | range_high | +0.31% | +0.18 | 05/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.68 | range_medium | +0.63% | +0.10 | 05/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.63 | range_low | +0.13% | -0.01 | 05/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.343×ATR | p35 | +1.122×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 22b | — | 5.141×ATR | p77 | +0.847×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.48×ATR | p2 | -0.013×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.161×ATR | p21 | -0.918×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7785
- reason: up_bo width=1.83×ATR dur=42b phase=extending
- stop_price: 590.59526396
- tp_price: 618.19184009
- atr:
- score: 0.77851342725832
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T21:36:38.706148
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77851342725832
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0683
- obi_top10 : 0.0683
- micro_price : 598.24343053
- spread_pct : 0.001672
- mid_price : 598.245
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0686
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6976
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
593.53
- balance_zone_bottom:
588.24
- balance_zone_mid:
590.885
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785772800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785920400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8258
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7785
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785888000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
593.53
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6429
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
9
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.7085
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 2.89736035 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.6429
bars_since_breakout
9
distance_to_edge_atr
1.7085
Signaux confirmants (35)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:36 | 598.48000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:42 | 598.48000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 05:48 | 598.77000000 | +0.048% |
| 4 | 05:54 | 598.77000000 | +0.048% |
| 5 | 06:01 | 598.77000000 | +0.048% |
| 6 | 06:07 | 596.73000000 | -0.292% |
| 7 | 06:12 | 596.73000000 | -0.292% |
| 8 | 06:18 | 596.74000000 | -0.291% |
| 9 | 06:24 | 596.74000000 | -0.291% |
| 10 | 06:31 | 596.74000000 | -0.291% |
| 11 | 06:36 | 596.90000000 | -0.264% |
| 12 | 06:42 | 596.90000000 | -0.264% |
| 13 | 06:48 | 597.16000000 | -0.221% |
| 14 | 06:54 | 597.16000000 | -0.221% |
| 15 | 07:01 | 597.16000000 | -0.221% |
| 16 | 07:06 | 597.32000000 | -0.194% |
| 17 | 07:12 | 597.32000000 | -0.194% |
| 18 | 07:18 | 597.68000000 | -0.134% |
| 19 | 07:24 | 597.68000000 | -0.134% |
| 20 | 07:31 | 597.68000000 | -0.134% |
| 21 | 07:36 | 597.57000000 | -0.152% |
| 22 | 07:42 | 597.57000000 | -0.152% |
| 23 | 07:48 | 596.40000000 | -0.348% |
| 24 | 07:54 | 596.40000000 | -0.348% |
| 25 | 08:01 | 596.40000000 | -0.348% |
| 26 | 08:06 | 596.78000000 | -0.284% |
| 27 | 08:12 | 596.78000000 | -0.284% |
| 28 | 08:18 | 597.78000000 | -0.117% |
| 29 | 08:24 | 597.78000000 | -0.117% |
| 30 | 08:31 | 597.78000000 | -0.117% |
| 31 | 08:36 | 598.90000000 | +0.07% |
| 32 | 08:42 | 598.90000000 | +0.07% |
| 33 | 08:48 | 599.18000000 | +0.117% |
| 34 | 08:54 | 599.18000000 | +0.117% |
| 35 | 09:01 | 599.18000000 | +0.117% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6976ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.068
avg 0.069
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.068
Microstructure
Mid Price
598.2450
Micro Price
598.2434
Spread
0.0017%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 598.48 | 590.5953 | 618.1918 | 2.5 | 788.48 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 598.48
- Stop Loss: 590.5953
- Take Profit: 618.1918
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 590.5953 - 598.48 = -7.8847000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 598.48 - 618.1918 = -19.7118
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -19.7118 / -7.8847000000001 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 607.229 | 100 | 1.0146 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.8847000000001
Taille de position = 8 / -7.8847000000001 = -1.01
Taille de position USD = -1.01 x 598.48 = -604.46
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.01 avec un stoploss a 590.5953
Avec un position size USD de -604.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.01 x -7.8847000000001 = 7.96
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.96$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.01 x -19.7118 = 19.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.91$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.01
- Taille de position USD -604.46
- Perte potentielle 7.96
- Gain potentiel 19.91
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.29 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.65 $ | -0.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6015 % | 45.65 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 598.48 | 590.5953 | 618.1918 | 2.5 | 788.48 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 598.48
- Stop Loss: 590.5953
- Take Profit: 618.1918
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 590.5953 - 598.48 = -7.8847000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 598.48 - 618.1918 = -19.7118
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -19.7118 / -7.8847000000001 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.318%
(7.8847)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.077% | 0.1R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.077% | 0.1R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.264% | 0.2R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.862% | 0.7R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.862% | 0.7R | -0.602% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.862% | 0.7R | -1.171% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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