Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4094.04 DOT at 0.849$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8532 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8473 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4094.04 DOT at 0.849$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8532 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8473 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 0.8493$
Qty 4094.0401 DOT
Size 3476.9045$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8532 (+0.46%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 0.8473 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8.19$
RR 1.95
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7719
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.71×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.454297 15m : 0.228635 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 05:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6257 | r1h: 0.033% · r4h: 0.910% · r1d: 2.22% · r3d: 6.87% · ema21_slope: 0.1227% · dist_ema21: 0.753% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5833 | rs_1h: -0.062% · rs_4h: 1.161% · rs_1d: 1.30% · rs_3d: 5.45% · beta_24h: 0.175 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1778 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.552 · trend: -39.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6978 | ADX: 36.7 (trend) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.829% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.220% | 0.9R | -0.261% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.415% | 1.8R | -0.261% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.415% | 1.8R | -0.922% | 3.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.686% | 2.9R | -0.922% | 3.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.686% | 2.9R | -1.150% | 4.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -4.07% | -0.22 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.72 | range_high | +0.31% | +0.59 | 05/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.60 | range_medium | +0.71% | +0.25 | 05/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.16% | +0.11 | 05/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.954×ATR | p27 | +1.009×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 29b | — | 8.542×ATR | p96 | +0.891×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.601×ATR | p10 | +0.232×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.528×ATR | p0 | +0.091×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64188.3
-0.000987278
64125
0.454297
64059.8
0.0010169
64125
0.228635
63584.5
0.00893981
64153
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0.84295
193
0.764
0.5849
0.4395
0.2638
0.5833
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0.4093
0.62
0.8832
0.0886
0.1208
1
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2.9829
0.75
0.25
1
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1
0.4725
0.3887
5.4812
0.6
0.5873
3.2191
2.9829
0.4186
0.2753
0.26
0.08
0.591
0.5318
0.6983
0.8832
-2.2403
16.9354
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 0.84849 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 05:45:00 | 0.84807 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 06:05:00 | 0.84515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:45:00 | 0.85348 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:05:00 | 0.85153 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:35:00 | 0.85194 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:00:00 | 0.85659 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 08:45:00 | 0.85255 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:10:00 | 0.85787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 0.84909 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 09:30:00 | 0.83796 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 0.82469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 16:15:00 | 0.84486 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 17:45:00 | 0.83574 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:30:00 | 0.86893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.85525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:15:00 | 0.84295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 0.85787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 0.84909 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 0.82469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:00:00 | 0.86893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 0.84295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 0.85787 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8493 | 0.8473 | 0.8532 | 1.95 | 1.2176 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8473 - 0.8493 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8493 - 0.8532 = -0.0038999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0038999999999999 / -0.002 = 1.95
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3476.9045 | 100 | 4094.0401 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.002 = -4000
Taille de position USD = -4000 x 0.8493 = -3397.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -4000 avec un stoploss a 0.8473
Avec un position size USD de -3397.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4000 x -0.002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4000 x -0.0038999999999999 = 15.6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.6$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8.19 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.19 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2614 % | 111 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8493 | 0.8473 | 0.8532 | 1.95 | 1.2176 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8473 - 0.8493 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8493 - 0.8532 = -0.0038999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0038999999999999 / -0.002 = 1.95
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.220% | 0.9R | -0.261% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.415% | 1.8R | -0.261% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.415% | 1.8R | -0.922% | 3.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.686% | 2.9R | -0.922% | 3.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.686% | 2.9R | -1.150% | 4.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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