05 Aug 2026 at 06:09:21 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 2308.93 ADA at 0.197$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2053 (4.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1931 (1.78 %)

ADA LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 05 Aug 2026 06:09 → 09:10 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.1966$

Qty 2308.9289 ADA

Size 453.9123$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2053 (+4.43%)

TP $ 20.09$

SL 0.1931 (-1.78%)

SL $ 8.08$

RR 2.49

Status loss PnL -1.78% / -8.08$ MAE -4.06% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 05 Aug 18:09

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 59222)
#8 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3770

Quality Score
0.567
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 06:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.13×ATR
4h clear
1d clear 8.27×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_low

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

05/08 06:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

04/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

05/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

05/08 05:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression 0
Operational range compression 0
Tactical range range 0
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 06:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5668
Score SMA
0.5236
Rank
#8 / 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3770
Rank Norm SMA
0.5331
Calculé le
05/08/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6191 r1h: 1.001% · r4h: 2.875% · r1d: -0.31% · r3d: 4.02% · ema21_slope: -0.0151% · dist_ema21: 1.618%
Force Relative 25% 0.6093 rs_1h: 0.906% · rs_4h: 3.127% · rs_1d: -1.22% · rs_3d: 2.60% · beta_24h: 0.704
Volume 20% 0.2294 rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.584 · trend: -31.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5524 ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.014% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.780% (0.0035)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.302% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.302% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.276% 1.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -4.054% 2.3R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -4.059% 2.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -5.463% 3.1R 0.0× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced normal bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 43% mid 0.80 bear_high -4.07% +0.92 04/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% early 0.65 range_high +0.31% +0.59 05/08 04:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 44% late near -1.1ATR 0.45 range_medium +0.71% +0.12 05/08 05:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_medium
51%
noisy_chop 49% late near -1.0ATR range_low +0.16% +0.27 05/08 05:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 8b 3.926×ATR p52 +0.953×ATR p77
4h ↓ down early 7b 1.135×ATR p0 +0.412×ATR p45
1h ↑ up late 6b 3.019×ATR p66 +1.586×ATR p93
15m ↑ up late 14b 5.299×ATR p97 +1.307×ATR p89

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.9428
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.39×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.19312519
  5. tp_price: 0.20525204
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.94282231401483
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-05T22:09:13.256039
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.94282231401483
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0444
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0251
  15. micro_price : 0.19600002
  16. spread_pct : 0.05102
  17. mid_price : 0.19605
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.194
  19. bid_wall_size : 6442828.8
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.197
  22. ask_wall_size : 6319461.8
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0453
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0018
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7056
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.19578
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.19088
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.19333
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785769200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785924000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.3924
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    44
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.9428
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785920400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.19578
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7955
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.3955
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    11
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00204814
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.7955
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3955

Signaux confirmants (5)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 06:09 0.19659000 -0.005%
2 06:14 0.19659000 -0.005%
3 06:50 0.19598000 -0.315%
4 06:56 0.19598000 -0.315%
5 07:03 0.19598000 -0.315%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7056ms Confidence avant OB : 94%94%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.044
avg 0.045 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 -0.025

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1961
Micro Price
0.1960
Spread
0.0510%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1940
Size
6,442,828.80

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1970
Size
6,319,461.80

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1966 0.1931 0.2053 2.49 0.2538
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1966
  • Stop Loss: 0.1931
  • Take Profit: 0.2053

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1931 - 0.1966 = -0.0035

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1966 - 0.2053 = -0.0087

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0087 / -0.0035 = 2.4857

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
453.9123 100 2308.9289 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0035

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0035 = -2285.71

Taille de position USD = -2285.71 x 0.1966 = -449.37

Donc, tu peux acheter -2285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.1931

Avec un position size USD de -449.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2285.71 x -0.0035 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2285.71 x -0.0087 = 19.89

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.89$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2285.71
  • Taille de position USD -449.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.89
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4857

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.43 % 20.09 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.78 % 8.08 $
PNL PNL %
-8.08 $ -1.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.826 % 102.57 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1966 0.1931 0.2053 2.49 0.2538
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1966
  • Stop Loss: 0.1931
  • Take Profit: 0.2053

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1931 - 0.1966 = -0.0035

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1966 - 0.2053 = -0.0087

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0087 / -0.0035 = 2.4857

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2053
            [entry_price] => 0.1966
            [stop_loss] => 0.19275
            [rr_ratio] => 2.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 13:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2053
            [entry_price] => 0.1966
            [stop_loss] => 0.1924
            [rr_ratio] => 2.07
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 13:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2053
            [entry_price] => 0.1966
            [stop_loss] => 0.19205
            [rr_ratio] => 1.91
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 13:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2053
            [entry_price] => 0.1966
            [stop_loss] => 0.19135
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 13:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.780% (0.0035)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.302% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.302% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.276% 1.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -4.054% 2.3R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -4.059% 2.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -5.463% 3.1R 0.0× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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