Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 597.33 LDO at 0.297$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2896 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3104 (4.51 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 06:10:05
hyperliquid
LDO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 06:10
→ 07:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.297$
Qty 597.3274 LDO
Size 177.4301$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2896 (+2.49%)
TP $ 4.42$
SL 0.3104 (-4.51%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.55
Status
win
PnL
+1.41%
/ +2.5$
MAE -0.37%
MFE +1.76%
0.4R
expires
05 Aug 07:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=32 <= threshold=35/45
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59211)
#39 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 06:00
score du 05/08/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2083
Quality Score
0.450
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
11.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 06:00
05/08 06:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#39 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#39 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.24×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.62×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 05/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 05/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 06:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4503
Score SMA
0.4339
Rank
#39
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2083
Rank Norm SMA
0.1175
Calculé le
05/08/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3205 | r1h: 0.319% · r4h: 2.542% · r1d: -7.07% · r3d: -9.65% · ema21_slope: -0.2029% · dist_ema21: 1.720% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3754 | rs_1h: 0.224% · rs_4h: 2.794% · rs_1d: -7.99% · rs_3d: -11.07% · beta_24h: -1.532 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2307 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.220 · trend: -15.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7610 | ADX: 38.9 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.863% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.512%
(0.0134)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.758% | 0.4R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 4.8× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +1.758% | 0.4R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 4.8× | 13 |
| 2h | +1.758% | 0.4R | -0.774% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.758% | 0.4R | -1.374% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.758% | 0.4R | -2.737% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.882% | 0.4R | -2.737% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.69 | bear_high | -4.07% | -0.99 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | — | 0.39 | range_high | +0.31% | -0.88 | 05/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | range_medium | +0.71% | -0.18 | 05/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.16% | +0.49 | 05/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.11×ATR | p63 | -1.547×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.059×ATR | p3 | -0.342×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.616×ATR | p63 | +1.259×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.452×ATR | p0 | +0.579×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.31043299
- tp_price: 0.289614
- atr: 0.0053572
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T16:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 41
- total: 43
- score: 0.3205
- delta_2h: -0.1071
- extension_atr: 1.19
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2083
- confidence: 0.952
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.297 | 0.3104 | 0.2896 | 0.55 | 0.4318 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.297
- Stop Loss: 0.3104
- Take Profit: 0.2896
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3104 - 0.297 = 0.0134
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.297 - 0.2896 = 0.0074
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0074 / 0.0134 = 0.5522
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177.4301 | 100 | 597.3274 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0134
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0134 = 597.01
Taille de position USD = 597.01 x 0.297 = 177.31
Donc, tu peux acheter 597.01 avec un stoploss a 0.3104
Avec un position size USD de 177.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 597.01 x 0.0134 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 597.01 x 0.0074 = 4.42
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.42$
Résumé
- Taille de position 597.01
- Taille de position USD 177.31
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.42
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5522
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 4.42 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.5 $ | 1.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3704 % | 8.21 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.297 | 0.3104 | 0.2896 | 0.55 | 0.4318 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.297
- Stop Loss: 0.3104
- Take Profit: 0.2896
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3104 - 0.297 = 0.0134
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.297 - 0.2896 = 0.0074
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0074 / 0.0134 = 0.5522
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.512%
(0.0134)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.758% | 0.4R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 4.8× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +1.758% | 0.4R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 4.8× | 13 |
| 2h | +1.758% | 0.4R | -0.774% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.758% | 0.4R | -1.374% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.758% | 0.4R | -2.737% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.882% | 0.4R | -2.737% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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