Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 14723.2 DOGE at 0.0697$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06834 (1.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07024 (0.77 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 06:19:21
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 06:19
→ 12:25
· 6 hours
Position
Entry 0.0697$
Qty 14723.2038 DOGE
Size 1026.1926$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06834 (+1.95%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.07024 (-0.77%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.52
Status
loss
PnL
-0.77%
/ -7.95$
MAE -1.20%
MFE +0.66%
0.9R
expires
05 Aug 18:19
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59207)
#33 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 06:00
score du 05/08/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1513
Quality Score
0.465
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 06:15
05/08 06:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#33 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#33 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.46×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.30×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 05/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 05/08 05:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 06:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4645
Score SMA
0.4855
Rank
#33
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1513
Rank Norm SMA
0.2663
Calculé le
05/08/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4903 | r1h: 0.029% · r4h: -0.082% · r1d: -0.39% · r3d: -0.45% · ema21_slope: -0.0283% · dist_ema21: -0.230% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4689 | rs_1h: -0.067% · rs_4h: 0.170% · rs_1d: -1.31% · rs_3d: -1.87% · beta_24h: 0.709 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1944 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.330 · trend: -51.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4088 | ADX: 13.0 (weak) · Chop: 62.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.444% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.775%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.2R | -0.260% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.158% | 0.2R | -0.531% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.663% | 0.9R | -0.737% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.663% | 0.9R | -0.976% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.663% | 0.9R | -1.195% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.326% | 1.7R | -1.195% | 1.5R | 1.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.86
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.07% | -0.40 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.3ATR | near -0.4ATR | 0.82 | range_high | +0.31% | -0.12 | 05/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.67 | range_medium | +0.71% | -0.11 | 05/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.16% | +0.01 | 05/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 32b | — | 4.048×ATR | p43 | -0.161×ATR | p20 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 1.307×ATR | p0 | -0.188×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.68×ATR | p4 | -0.135×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.521×ATR | p53 | +0.418×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.752
- reason: down_bo width=2.65×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.07024236
- tp_price: 0.06834059
- atr:
- score: 0.85200896532399
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T22:19:14.051855
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85200896532399
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2564
- obi_top10 : 0.3305
- micro_price : 0.06974498
- spread_pct : 0.014339
- mid_price : 0.069745
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.071
- ask_wall_size : 39600465
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2586
- obi_top5_std : 0.0019
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6880
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.070611
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0698135
- balance_zone_mid:
0.07021225
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785776400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785924000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6484
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.852
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785920400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0698135
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9048
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3802
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00030113 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.9048
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3802
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:19 | 0.06969900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 06:25 | 0.06969900 | -0.001% |
| 3 | 06:31 | 0.06969900 | -0.001% |
| 4 | 06:37 | 0.06976300 | +0.09% |
| 5 | 06:43 | 0.06976300 | +0.09% |
| 6 | 07:07 | 0.06974500 | +0.065% |
| 7 | 07:13 | 0.06974500 | +0.065% |
| 8 | 07:49 | 0.06974300 | +0.062% |
| 9 | 07:55 | 0.06974300 | +0.062% |
| 10 | 08:01 | 0.06974300 | +0.062% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6880ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
75%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.256
avg 0.259
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.331
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0697
Micro Price
0.0697
Spread
0.0143%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0710
Size
39,600,465.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0697 | 0.07024 | 0.06834 | 2.52 | 0.09667 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0697
- Stop Loss: 0.07024
- Take Profit: 0.06834
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07024 - 0.0697 = 0.00054
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0697 - 0.06834 = 0.00136
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00136 / 0.00054 = 2.5185
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1026.1926 | 100 | 14723.2038 | 10.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00054
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00054 = 14814.81
Taille de position USD = 14814.81 x 0.0697 = 1032.59
Donc, tu peux acheter 14814.81 avec un stoploss a 0.07024
Avec un position size USD de 1032.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14814.81 x 0.00054 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14814.81 x 0.00136 = 20.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.15$
Résumé
- Taille de position 14814.81
- Taille de position USD 1032.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.15
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5185
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.95 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.77 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -0.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9024 % | 116.48 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0697 | 0.07024 | 0.06834 | 2.52 | 0.09667 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0697
- Stop Loss: 0.07024
- Take Profit: 0.06834
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07024 - 0.0697 = 0.00054
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0697 - 0.06834 = 0.00136
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00136 / 0.00054 = 2.5185
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.775%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.2R | -0.260% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.158% | 0.2R | -0.531% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.663% | 0.9R | -0.737% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.663% | 0.9R | -0.976% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.663% | 0.9R | -1.195% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.326% | 1.7R | -1.195% | 1.5R | 1.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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