Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.96 ZEC at 514.16$ per unit. Take profit: 517.3864 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 512.5468 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.96 ZEC at 514.16$ per unit. Take profit: 517.3864 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 512.5468 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 514.16$
Qty 4.9591 ZEC
Size 2549.7513$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 517.3864 (+0.63%)
TP $ 16$
SL 512.5468 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9119
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.58×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 07:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.462849 15m : 0.509559 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6524 | r1h: 0.029% · r4h: -0.579% · r1d: 5.64% · r3d: 8.96% · ema21_slope: 0.2224% · dist_ema21: 1.488% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6118 | rs_1h: -0.035% · rs_4h: -0.495% · rs_1d: 4.96% · rs_3d: 7.39% · beta_24h: 1.917 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2087 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.448 · trend: -21.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7275 | ADX: 42.1 (trend) · Chop: 53.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.999% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.914% | 6.1R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 19.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.291% | 7.3R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 23.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.291% | 7.3R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 23.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.291% | 7.3R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 23.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.291% | 7.3R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 23.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -4.07% | -0.18 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.35% | +0.64 | 05/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.62 | range_medium | +0.72% | +0.46 | 05/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | -0.04% | +0.04 | 05/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 2.386×ATR | p0 | +1.067×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.542×ATR | p76 | +1.176×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.762×ATR | p20 | +0.541×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 0.839×ATR | p0 | +0.363×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64172.8
-0.00208651
64039
0.462849
64075
-0.000641406
64034
0.509559
63610.6
0.00701618
64057
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509.22
191
0.8027
0.6172
0.4306
0.2338
0.5917
0.5945
0.5683
0.7506
0.7829
0.1651
0.6987
0.9169
0.1875
0.1745
1
1.1726
3.6498
0.75
0.25
1
9
1
0.5325
0.6691
2.6532
0.6
0.5945
1.5773
3.6498
0.4486
0.2781
0.12
-0.1604
0.4851
0.486
0.9392
0.9169
-1.2846
14.1778
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:22 | 514.16000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:28 | 514.11000000 | -0.01% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 06:45:00 | 520.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:30:00 | 515.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:40:00 | 517.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 08:25:00 | 520.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 08:45:00 | 516.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:05:00 | 518.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 09:40:00 | 516.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:10:00 | 515.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:40:00 | 519.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:20:00 | 514.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 22:00:00 | 501.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:45:00 | 511.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:45:00 | 503 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:15:00 | 518.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:15:00 | 509.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:15:00 | 520.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:30:00 | 515.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:15:00 | 520.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 519.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:00:00 | 514.12 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 478.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 489.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 484.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 520.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:00:00 | 514.12 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514.16 | 512.5468 | 517.3864 | 2 | 1439.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 512.5468 - 514.16 = -1.6132
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 514.16 - 517.3864 = -3.2264
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.2264 / -1.6132 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2549.7513 | 100 | 4.9591 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.6132 = -4.96
Taille de position USD = -4.96 x 514.16 = -2550.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.96 avec un stoploss a 512.5468
Avec un position size USD de -2550.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.96 x -1.6132 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.96 x -3.2264 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0972 % | 30.98 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514.16 | 512.5468 | 517.3864 | 2 | 1439.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 512.5468 - 514.16 = -1.6132
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 514.16 - 517.3864 = -3.2264
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.2264 / -1.6132 = 2
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Array
(
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.914% | 6.1R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 19.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.291% | 7.3R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 23.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.291% | 7.3R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 23.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.291% | 7.3R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 23.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.291% | 7.3R | -0.097% | 0.3R | 23.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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