Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on KAITO

Previous Trade Next Trade
05 Aug 2026 at 08:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 133.98 KAITO at 0.934$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9934 (6.39 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 05 Aug 2026 08:10 → 11:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.9337$

Qty 133.9826 KAITO

Size 125.0942$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 125.1$

SL 0.9934 (-6.39%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +0.55% / +0.69$ MAE -1.84% MFE +1.01% 0.2R expires 05 Aug 11:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 59323)
#45 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1190

Quality Score
0.334
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 08:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#45 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.39 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#45 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.39 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.55×ATR
4h clear 0.91×ATR
1d clear 1.65×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_low

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

05/08 08:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

04/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

05/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

05/08 07:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 08:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3340
Score SMA
0.3874
Rank
#45 / 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1190
Rank Norm SMA
0.0605
Calculé le
05/08/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2496 r1h: -0.717% · r4h: -3.788% · r1d: 0.90% · r3d: -24.35% · ema21_slope: 0.0703% · dist_ema21: -0.314%
Force Relative 25% 0.2753 rs_1h: -0.756% · rs_4h: -3.662% · rs_1d: 0.65% · rs_3d: -26.01% · beta_24h: 0.119
Volume 20% 0.1253 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -1.216 · trend: -45.21%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4347 ADX: 13.9 (weak) · Chop: 60.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.259% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.394% (0.0597)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.409% 0.1R -1.842% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.409% 0.1R -1.842% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +1.009% 0.2R -1.842% 0.3R 0.6× 36
4h +1.585% 0.3R -1.842% 0.3R 0.9× 48
8h +1.742% 0.3R -1.842% 0.3R 1.0× 96
12h +1.742% 0.3R -1.842% 0.3R 1.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.62
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.40 bear_high -4.07% +0.65 04/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.01 range_high +0.22% -0.99 05/08 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early — — -0.11 range_medium +0.54% +0.39 05/08 07:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 46% early near -0.6ATR — 0.06 range_low +0.01% -0.33 05/08 07:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 7b — 3.306×ATR p22 -0.518×ATR p45
4h ↓ down late 22b — 6.003×ATR p91 -0.214×ATR p24
1h ↓ down early 4b — 1.867×ATR p13 -0.226×ATR p19
15m ↓ down early 4b — 1.704×ATR p0 -0.153×ATR p13

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.99336923
  2. atr: 0.01990308
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-05T15:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 45
  2. total: 46
  3. score: 0.2496
  4. confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9337 0.9934 0.3394
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9337
  • Stop Loss: 0.9934
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9934 - 0.9337 = 0.0597

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9337 - = 0.9337

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9337 / 0.0597 = 15.6399

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
125.0942 100 133.9826 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0597

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0597 = 134

Taille de position USD = 134 x 0.9337 = 125.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 134 avec un stoploss a 0.9934

Avec un position size USD de 125.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 134 x 0.0597 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 134 x 0.9337 = 125.12

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 125.12$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 134
  • Taille de position USD 125.12
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 125.12
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 15.6399

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 125.1 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.39 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.69 $ 0.55
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8421 % 28.81 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9337 0.9934 0.3394
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9337
  • Stop Loss: 0.9934
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9934 - 0.9337 = 0.0597

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9337 - = 0.9337

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9337 / 0.0597 = 15.6399

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.394% (0.0597)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.409% 0.1R -1.842% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.409% 0.1R -1.842% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +1.009% 0.2R -1.842% 0.3R 0.6× 36
4h +1.585% 0.3R -1.842% 0.3R 0.9× 48
8h +1.742% 0.3R -1.842% 0.3R 1.0× 96
12h +1.742% 0.3R -1.842% 0.3R 1.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.