Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 4079.2 ONDO at 0.381$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3852 (1.05 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3793 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 4079.2 ONDO at 0.381$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3852 (1.05 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3793 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 0.3812$
Qty 4079.1976 ONDO
Size 1555.1941$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3852 (+1.05%)
TP $ 16.32$
SL 0.3793 (-0.5%)
SL $ 7.75$
RR 2.11
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6956
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.31×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.88×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 09:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.458641 15m : 0.66272 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5843 | r1h: 0.133% · r4h: 1.232% · r1d: 3.54% · r3d: -0.19% · ema21_slope: 0.1364% · dist_ema21: 1.583% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5120 | rs_1h: -0.442% · rs_4h: 0.738% · rs_1d: 2.71% · rs_3d: -2.27% · beta_24h: 2.146 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4301 | rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 0.758 · trend: -16.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6678 | ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.167% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.100% | 0.2R | -1.351% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.855% | 1.7R | -1.351% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.259% | 2.5R | -1.351% | 2.7R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.259% | 2.5R | -2.327% | 4.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.259% | 2.5R | -2.327% | 4.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.32% | +0.48 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.56 | range_high | +0.27% | -0.24 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.62 | bull_medium | +1.07% | +0.39 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.55% | +0.08 | 05/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.832×ATR | p0 | +0.059×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.663×ATR | p24 | +0.959×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.252×ATR | p2 | +0.652×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.092×ATR | p29 | +0.386×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64178.8
0.0016697
64286
0.458641
64119.7
0.00259224
64286
0.66272
63615.5
0.0124733
64409
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196
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0.6065
0.389
0.236
0.5142
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0.4631
0.7422
0.6224
0.628
0.6315
0.4883
0.1046
0.0511
1
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1.6782
0.4
0.6
1
6
1
0.528
0.5235
3.586
0.65
0.4718
1.6919
1.6782
0.5438
0.3949
0.66
0.048
0.513
0.4187
0.8655
0.4883
-4.6806
4.4669
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:04 | 0.38125000 | +0.013% |
| 2 | 09:09 | 0.38073000 | -0.123% |
| 3 | 09:14 | 0.38031000 | -0.233% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 08:20:00 | 0.3836 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 0.37881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:40:00 | 0.38192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 09:55:00 | 0.38007 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:40:00 | 0.3835 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:50:00 | 0.38082 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 11:10:00 | 0.38341 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:30:00 | 0.38121 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:20:00 | 0.38927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.38068 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 22:45:00 | 0.37754 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:45:00 | 0.36983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:30:00 | 0.38105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:30:00 | 0.376 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 0.376 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.38683 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 08:15:00 | 0.3836 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 0.37881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 0.38927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.38068 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.36579 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 0.37921 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.36845 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.36437 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:00:00 | 0.37435 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 0.36525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.37862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.36983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.38683 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 12:00:00 | 0.38927 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3812 | 0.3793 | 0.3852 | 2.11 | 0.4145 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3793 - 0.3812 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3812 - 0.3852 = -0.004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.004 / -0.0019 = 2.1053
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1555.1941 | 100 | 4079.1976 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0019 = -4210.53
Taille de position USD = -4210.53 x 0.3812 = -1605.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.3793
Avec un position size USD de -1605.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.004 = 16.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.84$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.05 % | 16.32 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 7.75 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.75 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2041 % | 241.59 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3812 | 0.3793 | 0.3852 | 2.11 | 0.4145 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3793 - 0.3812 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3812 - 0.3852 = -0.004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.004 / -0.0019 = 2.1053
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.100% | 0.2R | -1.351% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.855% | 1.7R | -1.351% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.259% | 2.5R | -1.351% | 2.7R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.259% | 2.5R | -2.327% | 4.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.259% | 2.5R | -2.327% | 4.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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