Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 31.61 HYPE at 56.566$ per unit. Take profit: 57.0722 (0.89 %) & Stop Loss: 56.3129 (0.45 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 31.61 HYPE at 56.566$ per unit. Take profit: 57.0722 (0.89 %) & Stop Loss: 56.3129 (0.45 %)
Position
Entry 56.566$
Qty 31.6109 HYPE
Size 1788.1047$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 57.0722 (+0.89%)
TP $ 16$
SL 56.3129 (-0.45%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9417
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.97×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.21×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.37×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 09:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.39403 15m : 0.53293 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 05/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 09:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6479 | r1h: 0.470% · r4h: -0.490% · r1d: 2.95% · r3d: 11.28% · ema21_slope: 0.2021% · dist_ema21: 1.718% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5783 | rs_1h: -0.104% · rs_4h: -0.985% · rs_1d: 2.12% · rs_3d: 9.20% · beta_24h: 0.817 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2366 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.670 · trend: 4.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8368 | ADX: 40.4 (trend) · Chop: 31.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.005% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.632% | 3.7R | -0.087% | 0.2R | 18.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.010% | 4.5R | -0.087% | 0.2R | 23.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.339% | 5.2R | -0.087% | 0.2R | 27.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.466% | 5.5R | -0.087% | 0.2R | 28.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.466% | 5.5R | -0.362% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
30%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -4.32% | -0.59 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.61 | range_high | +0.48% | +0.66 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.53 | range_medium | +0.58% | +0.21 | 05/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.53 | range_low | +0.03% | -0.10 | 05/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 29b | — | 5.123×ATR | p76 | +0.691×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 5.575×ATR | p85 | +0.864×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.7×ATR | p18 | +0.021×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.766×ATR | p7 | -0.577×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64193.8
-0.00153965
64095
0.39403
64125.1
-0.00046943
64095
0.53293
63622.4
0.0075684
64104
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57.862
194
0.7524
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0.3139
0.2433
0.3717
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0.5852
0.6957
0.8179
0.6825
0.8601
0.1601
0.1364
1
0.9242
2.7515
0.55
0.45
1
5
1
0.5135
0.5436
5.6866
0.5
2.7795
7.0562
2.7515
0
0.2469
0.76
0.2429
0.5525
0.5136
0.8909
0.8601
-1.6478
10.1263
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 08:40:00 | 57.325 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:20:00 | 57.631 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:15:00 | 56.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:40:00 | 57.354 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:50:00 | 57.063 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 11:20:00 | 57.422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:25:00 | 56.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:05:00 | 56.826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:40:00 | 57.339 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 56.558 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 18:00:00 | 55.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 19:45:00 | 55.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 55.744 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 55.346 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 54.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 56.515 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 56.525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:30:00 | 57.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:15:00 | 57.422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 56.558 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 51.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 03:00:00 | 53.025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 51.081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 51.885 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 54.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 53.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 55.792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 54.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:00:00 | 57.862 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.566 | 56.3129 | 57.0722 | 2 | 92.569 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.3129 - 56.566 = -0.2531
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.566 - 57.0722 = -0.5062
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5062 / -0.2531 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1788.1047 | 100 | 31.6109 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2531 = -31.61
Taille de position USD = -31.61 x 56.566 = -1788.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -31.61 avec un stoploss a 56.3129
Avec un position size USD de -1788.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -31.61 x -0.2531 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -31.61 x -0.5062 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.89 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0866 % | 19.36 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.566 | 56.3129 | 57.0722 | 2 | 92.569 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.3129 - 56.566 = -0.2531
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.566 - 57.0722 = -0.5062
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5062 / -0.2531 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.632% | 3.7R | -0.087% | 0.2R | 18.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.010% | 4.5R | -0.087% | 0.2R | 23.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.339% | 5.2R | -0.087% | 0.2R | 27.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.466% | 5.5R | -0.087% | 0.2R | 28.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.466% | 5.5R | -0.362% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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