Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 3963.1 DOT at 0.842$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8464 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8404 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 3963.1 DOT at 0.842$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8464 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8404 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 0.8424$
Qty 3963.1035 DOT
Size 3338.3995$ (margin 100$) (leverage 33)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8464 (+0.47%)
TP $ 15.85$
SL 0.8404 (-0.24%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7331
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.61×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 09:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.288975 15m : 0.202166 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5658 | r1h: -0.315% · r4h: -0.726% · r1d: 2.09% · r3d: 6.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0581% · dist_ema21: -0.019% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4907 | rs_1h: -0.890% · rs_4h: -1.221% · rs_1d: 1.26% · rs_3d: 4.49% · beta_24h: 0.096 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1438 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.843 · trend: -53.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6326 | ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 55.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.792% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.785% | 3.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.322% | 5.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.511% | 6.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.511% | 6.4R | -0.166% | 0.7R | 9.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.511% | 6.4R | -0.547% | 2.3R | 2.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -4.32% | -0.16 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.72 | range_high | +0.48% | +0.48 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.59 | range_medium | +0.58% | +0.10 | 05/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.30 | range_low | +0.03% | -0.10 | 05/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.047×ATR | p27 | +1.091×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 30b | — | 7.881×ATR | p100 | +0.279×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.612×ATR | p8 | -0.363×ATR | p41 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.472×ATR | p63 | -1.259×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64194.2
-0.00355514
63966
0.288975
64121.1
-0.00354207
63894
0.202166
63618.8
0.00474929
63921
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0.1762
0.5703
0.7955
-0.001
0.0819
0.6667
-0.7133
1.1081
0.75
0.25
1
15
1
0.5057
0.3545
5.4812
0.5
0.5743
1.7244
1.1081
0.8314
0.2832
0.1
-0.1257
0.5262
0.4693
0.731
0.7955
-4.1768
16.2523
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 07:05:00 | 0.85153 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:35:00 | 0.85194 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:00:00 | 0.85659 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 08:45:00 | 0.85255 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:10:00 | 0.85787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:20:00 | 0.84708 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 11:15:00 | 0.85282 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:30:00 | 0.84921 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:25:00 | 0.85207 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:35:00 | 0.84147 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 0.82469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 16:15:00 | 0.84486 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 17:45:00 | 0.83574 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:30:00 | 0.86893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.85525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:15:00 | 0.84295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 0.85787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:15:00 | 0.84708 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 11:15:00 | 0.85282 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 0.84229 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 0.82469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:00:00 | 0.86893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 0.84295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 0.85787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.84229 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8424 | 0.8404 | 0.8464 | 2 | 1.1379 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8404 - 0.8424 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8424 - 0.8464 = -0.004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.004 / -0.002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3338.3995 | 100 | 3963.1035 | 33.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.002 = -4000
Taille de position USD = -4000 x 0.8424 = -3369.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -4000 avec un stoploss a 0.8404
Avec un position size USD de -3369.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4000 x -0.002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4000 x -0.004 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 15.85 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.85 $ | 0.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8424 | 0.8404 | 0.8464 | 2 | 1.1379 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8404 - 0.8424 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8424 - 0.8464 = -0.004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.004 / -0.002 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.785% | 3.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.322% | 5.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.511% | 6.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.511% | 6.4R | -0.166% | 0.7R | 9.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.511% | 6.4R | -0.547% | 2.3R | 2.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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