Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 264462.81 PUMP at 0.00249$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002552 (2.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002462 (1.2 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 264462.81 PUMP at 0.00249$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002552 (2.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002462 (1.2 %)
Position
Entry 0.002492$
Qty 264462.8099 PUMP
Size 659.0413$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002552 (+2.41%)
TP $ 15.87$
SL 0.002462 (-1.2%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9853
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 0.78×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 10:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.243389 15m : 0.464118 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 05/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9193 | r1h: 2.017% · r4h: 2.995% · r1d: 15.39% · r3d: 20.29% · ema21_slope: 0.4303% · dist_ema21: 5.222% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9043 | rs_1h: 2.227% · rs_4h: 2.950% · rs_1d: 14.60% · rs_3d: 18.61% · beta_24h: 3.176 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2888 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.061 · trend: -7.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7190 | ADX: 41.5 (trend) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.211% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.244% | 1.0R | -0.281% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.127% | 1.8R | -0.562% | 0.5R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.127% | 1.8R | -3.090% | 2.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.127% | 1.8R | -3.371% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.127% | 1.8R | -6.220% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -4.32% | +1.00 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +0.77% | +0.89 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.37 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.07% | +0.65 | 05/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.27% | +0.03 | 05/08 10:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 5.913×ATR | p90 | +1.613×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.346×ATR | p77 | +1.329×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 2.728×ATR | p51 | +0.439×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.226×ATR | p38 | -0.647×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64219.2
0.0015063
64316
0.243389
64113.7
0.00318512
64318
0.464118
63645.7
0.0111745
64357
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0.5803
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0.1
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0.5107
0.2639
5.6449
0.55
1.1792
3.3713
2.2672
0.6928
0.3109
0.86
0.2913
0.5481
0.4742
0.9738
0.8357
-1.4359
7.303
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 09:15:00 | 0.00253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:20:00 | 0.002466 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:45:00 | 0.002554 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:15:00 | 0.002499 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:05:00 | 0.002509 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:30:00 | 0.002569 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 12:50:00 | 0.002521 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 0.002527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:50:00 | 0.00259 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 14:30:00 | 0.002485 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 00:45:00 | 0.002386 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 0.002452 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:15:00 | 0.002404 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:45:00 | 0.002496 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 0.002458 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:30:00 | 0.002545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:15:00 | 0.002466 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:45:00 | 0.002554 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:45:00 | 0.00259 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 14:30:00 | 0.002485 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 0.002129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.002186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:00:00 | 0.002044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:00:00 | 0.002148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.002104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.002275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.002559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.00259 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002492 | 0.002462 | 0.002552 | 2 | 0.004134 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002462 - 0.002492 = -3.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002492 - 0.002552 = -6.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.0E-5 / -3.0E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 659.0413 | 100 | 264462.8099 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.0E-5 = -266666.67
Taille de position USD = -266666.67 x 0.002492 = -664.53
Donc, tu peux acheter -266666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.002462
Avec un position size USD de -664.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -266666.67 x -3.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -266666.67 x -6.0E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.41 % | 15.87 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.2 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -1.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2039 % | 100 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002492 | 0.002462 | 0.002552 | 2 | 0.004134 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002462 - 0.002492 = -3.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002492 - 0.002552 = -6.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.0E-5 / -3.0E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.244% | 1.0R | -0.281% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.127% | 1.8R | -0.562% | 0.5R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.127% | 1.8R | -3.090% | 2.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.127% | 1.8R | -3.371% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.127% | 1.8R | -6.220% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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