Long Trade on SKR (CatchTheWave)
With 62363.58 SKR at 0.00829$ per unit. Take profit: 0.008545 (3.1 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00816 (1.54 %)
Long Trade on SKR (CatchTheWave)
With 62363.58 SKR at 0.00829$ per unit. Take profit: 0.008545 (3.1 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00816 (1.54 %)
Position
Entry 0.008288$
Qty 62363.5797 SKR
Size 516.8693$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.008545 (+3.1%)
TP $ 16.03$
SL 0.00816 (-1.54%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8769
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.80×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.01×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 05/08 11:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.058124 15m : 0.046274 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 05/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6762 | r1h: -0.499% · r4h: -4.129% · r1d: 22.96% · r3d: 25.54% · ema21_slope: 1.1455% · dist_ema21: 1.838% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6301 | rs_1h: -0.527% · rs_4h: -4.702% · rs_1d: 22.49% · rs_3d: 23.39% · beta_24h: -3.965 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3826 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: 0.423 · trend: 29.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7448 | ADX: 42.5 (trend) · Chop: 51.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3430 | ATR%: 4.971% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.306% | 2.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.597% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.597% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.597% | 3.0R | -4.911% | 3.2R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.597% | 3.0R | -7.939% | 5.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | — | bear_high | -4.32% | +0.37 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.18 | bull_high | +0.89% | +0.95 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.10 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.28% | +0.89 | 05/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.55% | -0.74 | 05/08 11:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 3.399×ATR | p11 | +2.006×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.578×ATR | p18 | +0.794×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.292×ATR | p36 | -0.598×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 4.657×ATR | p81 | -1.116×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64259.5
0.00419253
64529
0.058124
64200.6
0.00511478
64529
0.046274
63668.1
0.0135057
64528
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1
1
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 09:50:00 | 0.008674 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:10:00 | 0.009314 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:50:00 | 0.008864 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 11:35:00 | 0.009283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 12:40:00 | 0.008532 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:25:00 | 0.008802 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:55:00 | 0.008474 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:30:00 | 0.008329 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:50:00 | 0.008615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 0.008288 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 00:15:00 | 0.006757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 01:30:00 | 0.009249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 04:30:00 | 0.009652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 05:30:00 | 0.00903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:30:00 | 0.00976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 08:00:00 | 0.008642 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:45:00 | 0.008674 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 0.009314 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:30:00 | 0.009283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 0.008288 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 00:00:00 | 0.006593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 0.007007 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.006389 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 11:00:00 | 0.006547 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 0.006444 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.006207 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 0.007568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.006757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.00976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 0.008303 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.008288 | 0.00816 | 0.008545 | 2.01 | 0.01929 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00816 - 0.008288 = -0.000128
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.008288 - 0.008545 = -0.000257
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000257 / -0.000128 = 2.0078
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 516.8693 | 100 | 62363.5797 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000128 = -62500
Taille de position USD = -62500 x 0.008288 = -518
Donc, tu peux acheter -62500 avec un stoploss a 0.00816
Avec un position size USD de -518$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -62500 x -0.000128 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -62500 x -0.000257 = 16.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.1 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.54 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.03 $ | 3.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.008288 | 0.00816 | 0.008545 | 2.01 | 0.01929 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00816 - 0.008288 = -0.000128
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.008288 - 0.008545 = -0.000257
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000257 / -0.000128 = 2.0078
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.306% | 2.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.597% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.597% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.597% | 3.0R | -4.911% | 3.2R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.597% | 3.0R | -7.939% | 5.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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