Long Trade on ETH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.28 ETH at 1895.7$ per unit. Take profit: 1968.139 (3.82 %) & Stop Loss: 1866.7244 (1.53 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 13:12:24
hyperliquid
ETH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 13:12
→ 01:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1895.7$
Qty 0.2761 ETH
Size 523.392$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 1968.139 (+3.82%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1866.7244 (-1.53%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.98%
/ +5.11$
MAE -0.26%
MFE +1.65%
1.1R
expires
06 Aug 01:12
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59507)
#4 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 13:00
score du 05/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3402
Quality Score
0.646
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
870.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 13:00
05/08 13:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.02×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.29×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.86×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 13:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 05/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 05/08 12:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | transition | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 13:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6463
Score SMA
0.4975
Rank
#4
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3402
Rank Norm SMA
0.3420
Calculé le
05/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5666 | r1h: 0.966% · r4h: 0.848% · r1d: 1.19% · r3d: 1.56% · ema21_slope: 0.0187% · dist_ema21: 0.982% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5226 | rs_1h: 0.519% · rs_4h: 0.307% · rs_1d: 0.07% · rs_3d: -0.76% · beta_24h: 1.076 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8457 | rvol_20: 2.50× · zscore_50: 2.677 · trend: 60.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5101 | ADX: 9.4 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.627% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.529%
(28.9756)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.292% | 0.9R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.43
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -4.32% | -0.02 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.88 | bull_high | +0.89% | -0.15 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.88 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.34% | +0.03 | 05/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.89 | range_low | +0.69% | +0.06 | 05/08 13:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 40b | — | 5.982×ATR | p73 | -0.094×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.305×ATR | p20 | +0.332×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.086×ATR | p66 | +1.321×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.976×ATR | p81 | +1.1×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7639
- reason: up_bo width=2.34×ATR dur=47b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1866.72439724
- tp_price: 1968.13900689
- atr:
- score: 0.76387283474784
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T05:12:16.727366
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76387283474784
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0185
- obi_top10 : 0.0185
- micro_price : 1894.45483687
- spread_pct : 0.000528
- mid_price : 1894.455
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0289
- obi_top5_std : 0.0087
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7236
- aggregation_tick : 10
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1881
- balance_zone_bottom:
1854.7
- balance_zone_mid:
1867.85
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785783600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785949200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3365
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
47
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7639
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785945600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1881
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9362
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.306
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 11.25602757 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
47
inside_close_ratio
0.9362
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.306
Signaux confirmants (33)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:12 | 1895.70000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:18 | 1893.10000000 | -0.137% |
| 3 | 13:24 | 1893.10000000 | -0.137% |
| 4 | 13:30 | 1893.10000000 | -0.137% |
| 5 | 13:36 | 1893.00000000 | -0.142% |
| 6 | 13:42 | 1893.00000000 | -0.142% |
| 7 | 13:48 | 1908.50000000 | +0.675% |
| 8 | 13:54 | 1908.50000000 | +0.675% |
| 9 | 14:00 | 1908.50000000 | +0.675% |
| 10 | 14:36 | 1915.00000000 | +1.018% |
| 11 | 14:42 | 1915.00000000 | +1.018% |
| 12 | 17:06 | 1909.40000000 | +0.723% |
| 13 | 17:12 | 1909.40000000 | +0.723% |
| 14 | 17:18 | 1913.30000000 | +0.928% |
| 15 | 17:24 | 1913.30000000 | +0.928% |
| 16 | 17:30 | 1913.30000000 | +0.928% |
| 17 | 17:36 | 1908.80000000 | +0.691% |
| 18 | 17:42 | 1908.80000000 | +0.691% |
| 19 | 17:48 | 1908.00000000 | +0.649% |
| 20 | 17:54 | 1908.00000000 | +0.649% |
| 21 | 18:00 | 1908.00000000 | +0.649% |
| 22 | 18:06 | 1908.20000000 | +0.659% |
| 23 | 18:12 | 1908.20000000 | +0.659% |
| 24 | 18:18 | 1911.10000000 | +0.812% |
| 25 | 18:24 | 1911.10000000 | +0.812% |
| 26 | 18:30 | 1911.10000000 | +0.812% |
| 27 | 18:36 | 1911.20000000 | +0.818% |
| 28 | 18:42 | 1911.20000000 | +0.818% |
| 29 | 18:48 | 1908.30000000 | +0.665% |
| 30 | 18:54 | 1908.30000000 | +0.665% |
| 31 | 19:01 | 1908.30000000 | +0.665% |
| 32 | 19:06 | 1906.40000000 | +0.564% |
| 33 | 19:12 | 1906.40000000 | +0.564% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7236ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.019
avg 0.029
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
0.019
Microstructure
Mid Price
1,894.4550
Micro Price
1,894.4548
Spread
0.0005%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1895.7 | 1866.7244 | 1968.139 | 2.5 | 2637.2 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1895.7
- Stop Loss: 1866.7244
- Take Profit: 1968.139
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1866.7244 - 1895.7 = -28.9756
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1895.7 - 1968.139 = -72.439
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -72.439 / -28.9756 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 523.392 | 100 | 0.2761 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -28.9756
Taille de position = 8 / -28.9756 = -0.28
Taille de position USD = -0.28 x 1895.7 = -530.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.28 avec un stoploss a 1866.7244
Avec un position size USD de -530.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.28 x -28.9756 = 8.11
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.11$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.28 x -72.439 = 20.28
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.28$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.28
- Taille de position USD -530.8
- Perte potentielle 8.11
- Gain potentiel 20.28
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.82 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.53 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.11 $ | 0.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2638 % | 17.26 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1895.7 | 1866.7244 | 1968.139 | 2.5 | 2637.2 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1895.7
- Stop Loss: 1866.7244
- Take Profit: 1968.139
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1866.7244 - 1895.7 = -28.9756
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1895.7 - 1968.139 = -72.439
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -72.439 / -28.9756 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.529%
(28.9756)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.292% | 0.9R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.651% | 1.1R | -0.264% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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