Long Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.1 ZEC at 520.7$ per unit. Take profit: 538.8982 (3.49 %) & Stop Loss: 513.4207 (1.4 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.1 ZEC at 520.7$ per unit. Take profit: 538.8982 (3.49 %) & Stop Loss: 513.4207 (1.4 %)
Position
Entry 520.7$
Qty 1.099 ZEC
Size 572.2546$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 538.8982 (+3.49%)
TP $ 20$
SL 513.4207 (-1.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9035
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.85×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 05/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6685 | r1h: -0.180% · r4h: 0.154% · r1d: 4.10% · r3d: 10.45% · ema21_slope: 0.1691% · dist_ema21: 1.261% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5906 | rs_1h: -0.234% · rs_4h: -0.284% · rs_1d: 2.97% · rs_3d: 8.30% · beta_24h: 2.180 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3779 | rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: 0.192 · trend: 12.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6556 | ADX: 43.3 (trend) · Chop: 63.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.113% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.323% | 0.2R | -0.467% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.323% | 0.2R | -0.939% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.323% | 0.2R | -0.941% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.323% | 0.2R | -2.842% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.323% | 0.2R | -2.842% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -4.32% | -0.16 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bull_high | +1.01% | +0.67 | 05/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.63 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.35% | +0.26 | 05/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.69% | -0.07 | 05/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 2.389×ATR | p0 | +1.054×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.163×ATR | p88 | +1.271×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.1×ATR | p0 | +0.328×ATR | p29 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.853×ATR | p17 | +0.016×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
513.97
144
0.8038
0.623
0.4437
0.2185
0.6279
0.7159
0.4622
0.5579
0.807
0.479
0.6581
0.9137
0.0946
0.1166
1
0.8832
2.7977
0.7895
0.2105
1
6
1
0.563
0.6422
3.0993
0.6
0.7159
2.2188
2.7977
0.3438
0.3196
0.58
-0.1035
0.4361
0.4731
0.8893
0.9137
-1.1109
11.7689
1
1
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513.97
525.94
525.94
513.97
511.27
501.71
506.49
0.8131
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:16 | 520.70000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:09 | 521.79000000 | +0.209% |
| 3 | 16:34 | 520.62000000 | -0.015% |
| 4 | 16:39 | 520.99000000 | +0.056% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520.7 | 513.4207 | 538.8982 | 2.5 | 1469.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 513.4207 - 520.7 = -7.2793
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 520.7 - 538.8982 = -18.1982
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.1982 / -7.2793 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 572.2546 | 100 | 1.099 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -7.2793 = -1.1
Taille de position USD = -1.1 x 520.7 = -572.77
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.1 avec un stoploss a 513.4207
Avec un position size USD de -572.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.1 x -7.2793 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.1 x -18.1982 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.49 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6555 % | 118.42 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520.7 | 513.4207 | 538.8982 | 2.5 | 1469.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 513.4207 - 520.7 = -7.2793
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 520.7 - 538.8982 = -18.1982
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.1982 / -7.2793 = 2.5
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.323% | 0.2R | -0.467% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.323% | 0.2R | -0.939% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.323% | 0.2R | -0.941% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.323% | 0.2R | -2.842% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.323% | 0.2R | -2.842% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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