Long Trade on SKR (CatchTheWave)
With 113507.38 SKR at 0.0083$ per unit. Take profit: 0.008443 (1.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008232 (0.84 %)
Long Trade on SKR (CatchTheWave)
With 113507.38 SKR at 0.0083$ per unit. Take profit: 0.008443 (1.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008232 (0.84 %)
Position
Entry 0.008302$
Qty 113507.378 SKR
Size 942.3383$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.008443 (+1.7%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.008232 (-0.84%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8345
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.87×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.25×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 05/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.056187 15m : 0.080512 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 05/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8266 | r1h: -0.771% · r4h: 0.106% · r1d: 18.54% · r3d: 28.41% · ema21_slope: 0.4406% · dist_ema21: 0.813% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7063 | rs_1h: -0.842% · rs_4h: -0.415% · rs_1d: 17.75% · rs_3d: 26.18% · beta_24h: -1.989 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1831 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.681 · trend: -28.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7025 | ADX: 38.0 (trend) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5470 | ATR%: 4.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.277% | 1.5R | -1.831% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.277% | 1.5R | -3.337% | 4.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.277% | 1.5R | -5.071% | 6.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.385% | 2.8R | -8.094% | 9.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.385% | 2.8R | -10.287% | 12.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | — | bear_high | -3.54% | +0.08 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.18 | bull_high_confirmed | +1.39% | +0.95 | 05/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.11 | bull_medium | +1.62% | +0.96 | 05/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.08 | bull_low | +0.81% | -0.26 | 05/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 3.137×ATR | p11 | +1.775×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.664×ATR | p21 | +0.631×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.521×ATR | p40 | -0.34×ATR | p35 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.903×ATR | p45 | -1.229×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64546.9
0.00480419
64857
0.056187
64379.5
0.00721439
64844
0.080512
63723.3
0.018072
64875
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1.3035
0.4
0.6
1
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1
0.5897
0.4297
1.6231
0.55
1.732
1.5584
1.3035
0.884
0.3362
0.6
0.7563
0.4936
0.4455
0.5597
0.5905
-4.3691
6.2999
1
1
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 14:30:00 | 0.008329 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:50:00 | 0.008615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 0.008288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:25:00 | 0.008562 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:45:00 | 0.008397 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:45:00 | 0.008669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 17:50:00 | 0.008516 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:30:00 | 0.008472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:00:00 | 0.00853 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:45:00 | 0.008293 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 04:30:00 | 0.009652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 05:30:00 | 0.00903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:30:00 | 0.00976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 08:00:00 | 0.008642 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:45:00 | 0.008674 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 0.009314 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:30:00 | 0.009283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 0.008288 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:45:00 | 0.008669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:45:00 | 0.008293 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 00:00:00 | 0.006593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 0.007007 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.006389 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 11:00:00 | 0.006547 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 0.006444 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.006207 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 0.007568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.006757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.00976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 0.008288 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.008302 | 0.008232 | 0.008443 | 2.01 | 0.01915 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008232 - 0.008302 = -7.0000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.008302 - 0.008443 = -0.000141
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000141 / -7.0000000000001E-5 = 2.0143
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 942.3383 | 100 | 113507.378 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -7.0000000000001E-5 = -114285.71
Taille de position USD = -114285.71 x 0.008302 = -948.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -114285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.008232
Avec un position size USD de -948.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -114285.71 x -7.0000000000001E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -114285.71 x -0.000141 = 16.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.11$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.7 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -0.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8068 % | 214.28 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.008302 | 0.008232 | 0.008443 | 2.01 | 0.01915 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008232 - 0.008302 = -7.0000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.008302 - 0.008443 = -0.000141
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000141 / -7.0000000000001E-5 = 2.0143
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.277% | 1.5R | -1.831% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.277% | 1.5R | -3.337% | 4.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.277% | 1.5R | -5.071% | 6.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.385% | 2.8R | -8.094% | 9.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.385% | 2.8R | -10.287% | 12.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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