Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.71 ETH at 1907.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1916.8769 (0.49 %) & Stop Loss: 1902.8116 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.71 ETH at 1907.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1916.8769 (0.49 %) & Stop Loss: 1902.8116 (0.25 %)
Position
Entry 1907.5$
Qty 1.7063 ETH
Size 3254.8233$ (margin 100$) (leverage 33)
Risk Setup
TP 1916.8769 (+0.49%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1902.8116 (-0.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7075
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.78×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.81526 15m : 0.789433 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 05/08 16:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5855 | r1h: 0.391% · r4h: 1.525% · r1d: 2.56% · r3d: 2.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0816% · dist_ema21: 1.908% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5463 | rs_1h: 0.155% · rs_4h: 1.029% · rs_1d: 1.58% · rs_3d: -0.16% · beta_24h: 1.396 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2978 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.331 · trend: 21.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6563 | ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 28.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.629% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.336% | 1.4R | -0.073% | 0.3R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.336% | 1.4R | -0.194% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.336% | 1.4R | -0.194% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.477% | 1.9R | -0.724% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.577% | 2.4R | -0.724% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.54% | +0.13 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.88 | bull_high | +1.32% | +0.05 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.88 | bull_medium | +1.71% | +0.17 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.85 | range_low | +0.66% | +0.15 | 05/08 17:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 40b | — | 6.374×ATR | p73 | +0.486×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.02×ATR | p63 | +1.512×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 5.696×ATR | p86 | +1.712×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 1.726×ATR | p8 | -0.12×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64650.6
0.00136694
64739
0.81526
64395.7
0.00533052
64739
0.789433
63718.5
0.0164695
64768
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1927
196
0.7774
0.6825
0.3309
0.1976
0.44
1
0.3174
0.5907
0.7221
0.7093
0.6049
0.8344
0.2705
0.1364
1
1.6231
2.6062
0.65
0.35
1
3
1
0.6048
0.6444
5.5806
0.55
2.4262
6.7307
2.6062
0
0.3573
0.74
0.0979
0.4309
0.4486
0.5846
0.8344
-1.4559
7.3376
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:06 | 1907.50000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:12 | 1910.40000000 | +0.152% |
| 3 | 17:36 | 1908.10000000 | +0.031% |
| 4 | 17:48 | 1907.60000000 | +0.005% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 14:30:00 | 1868.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 15:10:00 | 1882 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:55:00 | 1872.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:30:00 | 1896.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:50:00 | 1887.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:00:00 | 1898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:20:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:35:00 | 1915.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:45:00 | 1923.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:05:00 | 1907.4 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 05:15:00 | 1876.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 1862.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 1875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:45:00 | 1865.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:30:00 | 1884.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:00:00 | 1882.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:15:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:45:00 | 1923.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 1907.4 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 1875.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 1847.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 1873.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 1852.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 12:00:00 | 1881 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 1881.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 1860.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 1862.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1907.5 | 1902.8116 | 1916.8769 | 2 | 2491.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1902.8116 - 1907.5 = -4.6884
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1907.5 - 1916.8769 = -9.3769
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.3769 / -4.6884 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3254.8233 | 100 | 1.7063 | 33.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.6884 = -1.71
Taille de position USD = -1.71 x 1907.5 = -3261.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.71 avec un stoploss a 1902.8116
Avec un position size USD de -3261.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.71 x -4.6884 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.71 x -9.3769 = 16.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2516 % | 102.36 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1907.5 | 1902.8116 | 1916.8769 | 2 | 2491.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1902.8116 - 1907.5 = -4.6884
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1907.5 - 1916.8769 = -9.3769
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.3769 / -4.6884 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.336% | 1.4R | -0.073% | 0.3R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.336% | 1.4R | -0.194% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.336% | 1.4R | -0.194% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.477% | 1.9R | -0.724% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.577% | 2.4R | -0.724% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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