Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.092 BTC at 64633$ per unit. Take profit: 64806.0369 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 64546.4815 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.092 BTC at 64633$ per unit. Take profit: 64806.0369 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 64546.4815 (0.13 %)
Position
Entry 64633$
Qty 0.09247 BTC
Size 5976.3424$ (margin 100$) (leverage 60)
Risk Setup
TP 64806.0369 (+0.27%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64546.4815 (-0.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6966
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.16×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.21×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5479 | r1h: 0.236% · r4h: 0.497% · r1d: 0.98% · r3d: 2.31% · ema21_slope: 0.0415% · dist_ema21: 0.845% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3963 | rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: 0.226 · trend: 19.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6506 | ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 46.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.417% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.175% | 1.3R | -0.025% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.175% | 1.3R | -0.135% | 1.0R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.175% | 1.3R | -0.240% | 1.8R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.515% | 3.9R | -0.322% | 2.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.517% | 3.9R | -0.322% | 2.4R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 05/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 05/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 1.426×ATR | p0 | +0.469×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 4.688×ATR | p77 | +0.934×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.434×ATR | p72 | +0.47×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 2.899×ATR | p49 | -1.172×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[0] => 2026-08-03 19:00:00
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-04 00:00:00
[1] => 63287
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-04 04:00:00
[1] => 64220
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
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[1] => 63423
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-04 23:00:00
[1] => 64500
[2] => H
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[5] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 01:00:00
[1] => 63921
[2] => L
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[6] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 05:00:00
[1] => 64490
[2] => H
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[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:00:00
[1] => 63971
[2] => L
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 13:00:00
[1] => 63850
[2] => L
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[9] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 20:00:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.3677715200197
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4048551292091
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7791699295223
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => 64490
[2] => H
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 07:30:00
[1] => 63971
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 08:15:00
[1] => 64250
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:15:00
[1] => 64212
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 10:45:00
[1] => 63990
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 12:15:00
[1] => 64540
[2] => H
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[6] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 13:30:00
[1] => 63850
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 16:15:00
[1] => 64723
[2] => H
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[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:15:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
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[9] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 21:15:00
[1] => 64621
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.54319391869018
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.018569814766098
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56483186580214
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 14:40:00
[1] => 64268
[2] => L
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 15:10:00
[1] => 64700
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 15:55:00
[1] => 64351
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 16:25:00
[1] => 64723
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 17:20:00
[1] => 64505
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 18:15:00
[1] => 64776
[2] => H
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[6] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 19:25:00
[1] => 64900
[2] => H
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[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:05:00
[1] => 64780
[2] => L
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[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:20:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 21:25:00
[1] => 64621
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.54319391869018
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.018569814766098
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56483186580214
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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63850
191
0.6372
0.5841
0.2857
0.1592
0.3892
1
0.4671
0.4898
0.4331
0.0803
0.5787
0.9131
0.1779
0.1199
1
1.2844
2.6238
0.6
0.4
-1
8
1
0.6817
0.6584
2.3839
0.55
1.2127
2.5483
2.6238
0.3353
0.4136
0.06
-0.2335
0.3087
0.4453
0.7224
0.9131
-0.9905
10.402
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:30 | 64633.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:48 | 64641.00000000 | +0.012% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 14:40:00 | 64268 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 15:10:00 | 64700 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:55:00 | 64351 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:25:00 | 64723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 17:20:00 | 64505 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:15:00 | 64776 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:25:00 | 64900 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:05:00 | 64780 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:20:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:25:00 | 64621 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 05:15:00 | 64490 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:30:00 | 63971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:15:00 | 64250 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:15:00 | 64212 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:45:00 | 63990 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 64540 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:15:00 | 64723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:15:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:15:00 | 64621 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 64050 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 63287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 64220 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:00:00 | 63423 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 64500 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 63921 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 64490 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 63971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64633 | 64546.4815 | 64806.0369 | 2 | 76562 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64546.4815 - 64633 = -86.518499999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64633 - 64806.0369 = -173.0369
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -173.0369 / -86.518499999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5976.3424 | 100 | 0.09247 | 60.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -86.518499999998 = -0.09
Taille de position USD = -0.09 x 64633 = -5816.97
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.09 avec un stoploss a 64546.4815
Avec un position size USD de -5816.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.09 x -86.518499999998 = 7.79
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.79$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.09 x -173.0369 = 15.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.57$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1346 % | 100.52 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64633 | 64546.4815 | 64806.0369 | 2 | 76562 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64546.4815 - 64633 = -86.518499999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64633 - 64806.0369 = -173.0369
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -173.0369 / -86.518499999998 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
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[take_profit] => 64806.0369
[entry_price] => 64633
[stop_loss] => 64537.82965
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 01:20:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 64806.0369
[entry_price] => 64633
[stop_loss] => 64529.1778
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 01:20:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 64806.0369
[entry_price] => 64633
[stop_loss] => 64520.52595
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 01:25:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 64806.0369
[entry_price] => 64633
[stop_loss] => 64503.22225
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 01:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.175% | 1.3R | -0.025% | 0.2R | 7.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.175% | 1.3R | -0.135% | 1.0R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.175% | 1.3R | -0.240% | 1.8R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.515% | 3.9R | -0.322% | 2.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.517% | 3.9R | -0.322% | 2.4R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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