Long Trade on PENDLE (CatchTheWave)
With 1728.49 PENDLE at 1.389$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3982 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3843 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on PENDLE (CatchTheWave)
With 1728.49 PENDLE at 1.389$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3982 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3843 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 1.3889$
Qty 1728.489 PENDLE
Size 2400.6983$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3982 (+0.67%)
TP $ 16.07$
SL 1.3843 (-0.33%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.02
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3278
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.71×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.383375 15m : 0.606353 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 18:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5250 | r1h: -0.107% · r4h: -0.449% · r1d: 2.83% · r3d: 1.42% · ema21_slope: 0.1131% · dist_ema21: 0.550% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5148 | rs_1h: -0.045% · rs_4h: -0.284% · rs_1d: 2.18% · rs_3d: -0.56% · beta_24h: 3.165 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3735 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.397 · trend: 187.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7682 | ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 36.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.270% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.590% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.706% | 2.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.706% | 2.1R | -0.965% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.706% | 2.1R | -0.965% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.706% | 2.1R | -2.923% | 8.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.64 | bull_high | +1.12% | -0.01 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_medium | +1.21% | +0.03 | 05/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.39% | -0.07 | 05/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.127×ATR | p4 | +0.533×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.564×ATR | p39 | -0.147×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 5.161×ATR | p88 | -0.593×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64675.8
-0.00180742
64559
0.383375
64449.4
0.00169959
64559
0.606353
63729.5
0.014585
64659
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1.6777
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0.3499
0.92
0.2035
0.4965
0.4108
0.7726
0.4996
-3.4
3.3948
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:03 | 1.38890000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:08 | 1.39180000 | +0.209% |
| 3 | 19:50 | 1.39150000 | +0.187% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 18:30:00 | 1.3968 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:45:00 | 1.4108 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:10:00 | 1.403 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:45:00 | 1.4425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:15:00 | 1.4342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:05:00 | 1.3925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:40:00 | 1.4004 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 1.396 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:20:00 | 1.4028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1.3875 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 04:45:00 | 1.3662 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:30:00 | 1.4076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 1.3821 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 1.3922 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 1.3561 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:00:00 | 1.3735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:45:00 | 1.4157 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:45:00 | 1.4425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 1.3925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1.3875 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 1.3964 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 1.3359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 1.3886 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 1.3687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 1.3414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 1.3562 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 1.3365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 1.4076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1.3561 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:00:00 | 1.4425 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3889 | 1.3843 | 1.3982 | 2.02 | 2.3272 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3843 - 1.3889 = -0.0045999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3889 - 1.3982 = -0.0093000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0093000000000001 / -0.0045999999999999 = 2.0217
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2400.6983 | 100 | 1728.489 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0045999999999999 = -1739.13
Taille de position USD = -1739.13 x 1.3889 = -2415.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -1739.13 avec un stoploss a 1.3843
Avec un position size USD de -2415.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1739.13 x -0.0045999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1739.13 x -0.0093000000000001 = 16.17
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.17$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 16.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.07 $ | 0.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3889 | 1.3843 | 1.3982 | 2.02 | 2.3272 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3843 - 1.3889 = -0.0045999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3889 - 1.3982 = -0.0093000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0093000000000001 / -0.0045999999999999 = 2.0217
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.590% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.706% | 2.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.706% | 2.1R | -0.965% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.706% | 2.1R | -0.965% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.706% | 2.1R | -2.923% | 8.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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