Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 16.6 BCH at 213.75$ per unit. Take profit: 214.7139 (0.45 %) & Stop Loss: 213.268 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 16.6 BCH at 213.75$ per unit. Take profit: 214.7139 (0.45 %) & Stop Loss: 213.268 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 213.75$
Qty 16.5991 BCH
Size 3548.0654$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 214.7139 (+0.45%)
TP $ 16$
SL 213.268 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7698
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.95×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 25.97×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 20:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.481284 15m : 0.538752 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 19:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5141 | r1h: 0.154% · r4h: -0.501% · r1d: 0.59% · r3d: 0.88% · ema21_slope: 0.0598% · dist_ema21: 0.322% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4895 | rs_1h: 0.111% · rs_4h: -0.236% · rs_1d: -0.28% · rs_3d: -0.80% · beta_24h: 1.131 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2501 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.837 · trend: 29.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6485 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.642% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.370% | 1.6R | -0.183% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.370% | 1.6R | -0.183% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.370% | 1.6R | -0.692% | 3.1R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.819% | 3.6R | -0.692% | 3.1R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.819% | 3.6R | -1.399% | 6.2R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -3.54% | -0.42 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +1.02% | -0.18 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bull_medium | +1.13% | +0.09 | 05/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.33% | +0.02 | 05/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 4.335×ATR | p61 | +0.176×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.567×ATR | p0 | +0.367×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.938×ATR | p24 | -0.004×ATR | p0 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.368×ATR | p81 | -0.112×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64660.2
-0.000993523
64596
0.481284
64450
0.00226445
64596
0.538752
63801.5
0.012405
64593
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 22:00:00
[1] => 214.77
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 08:00:00
[1] => 208.52
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 18:00:00
[1] => 215.23
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 00:00:00
[1] => 211.32
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 04:00:00
[1] => 214.34
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 15:00:00
[1] => 214.7
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 16:00:00
[1] => 212.14
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:00:00
[1] => 209.92
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:00:00
[1] => 217.2
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 22:00:00
[1] => 213.76
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3029465930018
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28536676646707
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6092814371257
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:15:00
[1] => 209.92
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 09:00:00
[1] => 210.1
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:30:00
[1] => 214.48
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 12:15:00
[1] => 214.97
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 13:30:00
[1] => 211.65
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 15:00:00
[1] => 214.27
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 15:45:00
[1] => 212.4
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:30:00
[1] => 217.2
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:45:00
[1] => 214.66
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 00:00:00
[1] => 213.53
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.42392620888847
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10303001920105
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.52919964407811
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 18:05:00
[1] => 215
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 18:30:00
[1] => 214.36
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 19:05:00
[1] => 215.87
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 19:35:00
[1] => 215.25
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:05:00
[1] => 215.04
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:40:00
[1] => 217.2
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 22:55:00
[1] => 213.76
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:30:00
[1] => 214.12
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:50:00
[1] => 214.66
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 00:05:00
[1] => 213.53
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.42392620888847
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10303001920105
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.52919964407811
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
217.2
195
0.7298
0.5919
0.3598
0.2668
0.4358
1
0.321
0.5706
0.6978
0.4688
0.64
0.7533
0.0923
0.0586
1
0.3541
0.9236
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.4664
0.4978
3.9462
0.6
1.6717
3.8594
0.9236
0.4505
0.2399
0.44
0.0072
0.5042
0.5311
0.8193
0.7533
-2.2731
6.9398
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:07 | 213.75000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:13 | 213.56000000 | -0.089% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 18:05:00 | 215 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:30:00 | 214.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:05:00 | 215.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:35:00 | 215.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:05:00 | 215.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:40:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:55:00 | 213.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:30:00 | 214.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:50:00 | 214.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:05:00 | 213.53 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 209.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 210.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 214.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 214.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 211.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 214.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 212.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:30:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:45:00 | 214.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 213.53 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 214.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 208.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 215.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 211.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 214.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 214.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 212.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 209.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 213.76 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.75 | 213.268 | 214.7139 | 2 | 225.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.268 - 213.75 = -0.482
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.75 - 214.7139 = -0.9639
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.9639 / -0.482 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3548.0654 | 100 | 16.5991 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.482 = -16.6
Taille de position USD = -16.6 x 213.75 = -3548.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.6 avec un stoploss a 213.268
Avec un position size USD de -3548.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.6 x -0.482 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.6 x -0.9639 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.262 % | 116.19 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.75 | 213.268 | 214.7139 | 2 | 225.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.268 - 213.75 = -0.482
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.75 - 214.7139 = -0.9639
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.9639 / -0.482 = 1.9998
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.7139
[entry_price] => 213.75
[stop_loss] => 213.2198
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 02:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.7139
[entry_price] => 213.75
[stop_loss] => 213.1716
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.7139
[entry_price] => 213.75
[stop_loss] => 213.1234
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.7139
[entry_price] => 213.75
[stop_loss] => 213.027
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.370% | 1.6R | -0.183% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.370% | 1.6R | -0.183% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.370% | 1.6R | -0.692% | 3.1R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.819% | 3.6R | -0.692% | 3.1R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.819% | 3.6R | -1.399% | 6.2R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.