Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.68 ETH at 1904.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1910.2741 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 1901.3129 (0.16 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.68 ETH at 1904.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1910.2741 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 1901.3129 (0.16 %)
Position
Entry 1904.3$
Qty 2.6782 ETH
Size 5100.1418$ (margin 100$) (leverage 51)
Risk Setup
TP 1910.2741 (+0.31%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1901.3129 (-0.16%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8145
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.26×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.18×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.715147 15m : 0.765911 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 21:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5528 | r1h: 0.047% · r4h: -0.428% · r1d: 2.47% · r3d: 1.91% · ema21_slope: 0.1066% · dist_ema21: 0.811% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5155 | rs_1h: 0.055% · rs_4h: -0.159% · rs_1d: 1.44% · rs_3d: -0.18% · beta_24h: 1.438 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1604 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.990 · trend: -30.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6829 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 30.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.577% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 2.0R | -0.452% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.315% | 2.0R | -0.557% | 3.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.719% | 4.6R | -0.557% | 3.6R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.746% | 4.8R | -0.557% | 3.6R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.746% | 4.8R | -0.646% | 4.1R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.62% | +0.25 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.88 | bull_high | +1.03% | -0.04 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.88 | bull_low | +1.02% | +0.15 | 05/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.84 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.03 | 05/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 41b | — | 6.656×ATR | p85 | +0.34×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.71×ATR | p54 | +0.952×ATR | p80 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.761×ATR | p12 | +0.216×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.12×ATR | p24 | -0.978×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64656
-0.00256772
64490
0.715147
64442.8
0.000731061
64490
0.765911
63819
0.0119233
64580
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1927
192
0.7622
0.6825
0.3205
0.1947
0.4233
1
0.3319
0.5803
0.7221
0.2658
0.6278
0.8269
0.1693
0.1197
1
1.3309
2.7362
0.65
0.35
1
7
1
0.6105
0.6444
5.5806
0.55
2.4262
6.7308
2.7362
0
0.37
0.14
-0.0273
0.4045
0.4346
0.8341
0.8269
-1.9185
9.1649
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:30 | 1904.30000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:18 | 1900.40000000 | -0.205% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 19:35:00 | 1915.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:45:00 | 1923.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:05:00 | 1907.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 1906.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:15:00 | 1912.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1903.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:25:00 | 1911.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 1906.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:25:00 | 1913.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00 | 1904 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 1875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:45:00 | 1865.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:30:00 | 1884.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:00:00 | 1882.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:15:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:45:00 | 1923.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1903.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:15:00 | 1913.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00 | 1904 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 1847.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 1873.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 1852.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 12:00:00 | 1881 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 1881.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 1860.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 1862.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1903.8 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1904.3 | 1901.3129 | 1910.2741 | 2 | 2439.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1901.3129 - 1904.3 = -2.9871000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1904.3 - 1910.2741 = -5.9741000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.9741000000001 / -2.9871000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5100.1418 | 100 | 2.6782 | 51.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.9871000000001 = -2.68
Taille de position USD = -2.68 x 1904.3 = -5103.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.68 avec un stoploss a 1901.3129
Avec un position size USD de -5103.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.68 x -2.9871000000001 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.68 x -5.9741000000001 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0368 % | 23.45 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1904.3 | 1901.3129 | 1910.2741 | 2 | 2439.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1901.3129 - 1904.3 = -2.9871000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1904.3 - 1910.2741 = -5.9741000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.9741000000001 / -2.9871000000001 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 2.0R | -0.452% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.315% | 2.0R | -0.557% | 3.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.719% | 4.6R | -0.557% | 3.6R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.746% | 4.8R | -0.557% | 3.6R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.746% | 4.8R | -0.646% | 4.1R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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