Long Trade on PENDLE (CatchTheWave)
With 2149.37 PENDLE at 1.383$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3905 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3794 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on PENDLE (CatchTheWave)
With 2149.37 PENDLE at 1.383$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3905 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3794 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 1.3831$
Qty 2149.3705 PENDLE
Size 2972.7943$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3905 (+0.54%)
TP $ 15.91$
SL 1.3794 (-0.27%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5042
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.37×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.04×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.48×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.300006 15m : 0.627643 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 05/08 21:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5335 | r1h: -0.158% · r4h: -1.681% · r1d: 3.96% · r3d: 1.15% · ema21_slope: 0.1080% · dist_ema21: 0.178% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4931 | rs_1h: -0.150% · rs_4h: -1.412% · rs_1d: 2.93% · rs_3d: -0.94% · beta_24h: 3.161 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3294 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.186 · trend: 56.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7559 | ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 37.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.195% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.550% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.550% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.803% | 3.0R | -0.550% | 2.1R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.803% | 3.0R | -2.147% | 8.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.803% | 3.0R | -3.066% | 11.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -3.62% | -0.79 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +0.96% | -0.14 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bull_low | +1.02% | -0.07 | 05/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.64 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.23 | 05/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 3.649×ATR | p29 | -0.17×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.913×ATR | p0 | +0.212×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.413×ATR | p64 | -0.363×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 9.449×ATR | p100 | -1.469×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64655.2
-0.00158218
64553
0.300006
64443.8
0.00150676
64541
0.627643
63818
0.0111555
64530
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1.4425
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0.6667
-0.2229
0.4307
0.5
0.5
1
6
1
0.5677
0.542
4.7703
0.6
1.6777
5.7645
0.4307
0
0.3606
0.64
-0.083
0.429
0.384
0.7797
0.4169
-4.7448
3.3918
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:44 | 1.38310000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:56 | 1.38350000 | +0.029% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 20:15:00 | 1.4342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:05:00 | 1.3925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:40:00 | 1.4004 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 1.396 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:20:00 | 1.4028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1.3875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:25:00 | 1.3968 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:45:00 | 1.3912 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:20:00 | 1.3987 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:40:00 | 1.3823 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 1.3821 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 1.3922 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 1.3561 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:00:00 | 1.3735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:45:00 | 1.4157 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:45:00 | 1.4425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 1.3925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1.3875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:15:00 | 1.3987 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00 | 1.3831 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 1.3359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 1.3886 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 1.3687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 1.3414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 1.3562 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 1.3365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 1.4076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1.3561 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:00:00 | 1.4425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 1.3831 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3831 | 1.3794 | 1.3905 | 2 | 2.2518 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3794 - 1.3831 = -0.0037
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3831 - 1.3905 = -0.0074000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0074000000000001 / -0.0037 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2972.7943 | 100 | 2149.3705 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0037 = -2162.16
Taille de position USD = -2162.16 x 1.3831 = -2990.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -2162.16 avec un stoploss a 1.3794
Avec un position size USD de -2990.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2162.16 x -0.0037 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2162.16 x -0.0074000000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 15.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5206 % | 194.62 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3831 | 1.3794 | 1.3905 | 2 | 2.2518 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3794 - 1.3831 = -0.0037
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3831 - 1.3905 = -0.0074000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0074000000000001 / -0.0037 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.550% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.166% | 0.6R | -0.550% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.803% | 3.0R | -0.550% | 2.1R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.803% | 3.0R | -2.147% | 8.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.803% | 3.0R | -3.066% | 11.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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