Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.25 XMR at 363.58$ per unit. Take profit: 365.5189 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 362.6106 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.25 XMR at 363.58$ per unit. Take profit: 365.5189 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 362.6106 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 363.58$
Qty 8.2522 XMR
Size 3000.3409$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 365.5189 (+0.53%)
TP $ 16$
SL 362.6106 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9492
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.83×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.20×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.167 15m : 0.196361 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5241 | r1h: -0.594% · r4h: -0.088% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: 0.00% · ema21_slope: 0.1320% · dist_ema21: 1.251% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4814 | rs_1h: -0.573% · rs_4h: -0.020% · rs_1d: 1.96% · rs_3d: -2.26% · beta_24h: 0.341 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2838 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.195 · trend: 5.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7800 | ADX: 33.6 (trend) · Chop: 35.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.742% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.424% | 1.6R | -0.121% | 0.5R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.424% | 1.6R | -0.121% | 0.5R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.015% | 3.8R | -0.121% | 0.5R | 8.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.015% | 3.8R | -1.007% | 3.8R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.015% | 3.8R | -1.007% | 3.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.62% | +0.72 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.40 | bull_high | +0.89% | -0.13 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.25 | bull_low | +0.96% | +0.28 | 05/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.20 | range_low | +0.17% | -0.01 | 05/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.523×ATR | p0 | +0.506×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.374×ATR | p52 | +1.19×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.432×ATR | p91 | +0.411×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.798×ATR | p10 | -0.429×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64653.4
-0.00170849
64543
0.167
64512.3
0.000474588
64543
0.196361
63848.3
0.01088
64543
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 18:00:00
[1] => 364.1
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 20:00:00
[1] => 364.1
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 22:00:00
[1] => 364.1
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 05:00:00
[1] => 361.81
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 08:00:00
[1] => 366.18
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 18:00:00
[1] => 363.36
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 23:00:00
[1] => 351.27
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 02:00:00
[1] => 357.54
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:00:00
[1] => 350.25
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 01:00:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0779323298037
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.7573162027124
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8879371877231
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 06:00:00
[1] => 351.08
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:00:00
[1] => 353.6
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:30:00
[1] => 350.25
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 12:30:00
[1] => 355.34
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 16:30:00
[1] => 353.05
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 21:45:00
[1] => 366.77
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 00:45:00
[1] => 364.79
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 01:30:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 03:00:00
[1] => 363.25
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0316574570596
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.090846524432205
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1342050929112
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 22:20:00
[1] => 363.27
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:00:00
[1] => 366.53
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:40:00
[1] => 366.81
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 00:20:00
[1] => 367.17
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 00:50:00
[1] => 364.79
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 01:25:00
[1] => 365.23
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 01:40:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 01:50:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 03:05:00
[1] => 363.25
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0316574570596
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.090846524432205
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1342050929112
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
367.37
197
0.6793
0.56
0.3454
0.2613
0.4142
1
0.1802
0.5927
0.5774
0.7037
0.6184
0.7687
0.2058
0.0917
1
0.9586
1.4114
0.4
0.6
1
2
1
0.4773
0.3723
6.3326
0.55
2.3484
7.11
1.4114
0
0.227
0.74
0.0895
0.5676
0.5491
0.7622
0.7687
-1.4926
4.9604
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:16 | 363.58000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:22 | 363.64000000 | +0.017% |
| 3 | 23:34 | 363.14000000 | -0.121% |
| 4 | 23:40 | 363.16000000 | -0.116% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 22:20:00 | 363.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 366.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:40:00 | 366.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:20:00 | 367.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:50:00 | 364.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:25:00 | 365.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:40:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:50:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:05:00 | 363.25 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 351.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 353.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 350.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:30:00 | 355.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:30:00 | 353.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:45:00 | 366.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:45:00 | 364.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 363.25 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 364.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 364.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 364.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:00:00 | 361.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 366.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 18:00:00 | 363.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 351.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:00:00 | 357.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 350.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363.58 | 362.6106 | 365.5189 | 2 | 491.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 362.6106 - 363.58 = -0.96940000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 363.58 - 365.5189 = -1.9389
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9389 / -0.96940000000001 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3000.3409 | 100 | 8.2522 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.96940000000001 = -8.25
Taille de position USD = -8.25 x 363.58 = -2999.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.25 avec un stoploss a 362.6106
Avec un position size USD de -2999.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.25 x -0.96940000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.25 x -1.9389 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.121 % | 45.39 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363.58 | 362.6106 | 365.5189 | 2 | 491.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 362.6106 - 363.58 = -0.96940000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 363.58 - 365.5189 = -1.9389
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9389 / -0.96940000000001 = 2.0001
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 365.5188
[stop_loss] => 362.6106
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 05:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 366.0035
[stop_loss] => 362.6106
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 06:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 366.4882
[stop_loss] => 362.6106
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 06:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 366.9729
[stop_loss] => 362.6106
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 06:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.424% | 1.6R | -0.121% | 0.5R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.424% | 1.6R | -0.121% | 0.5R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.015% | 3.8R | -0.121% | 0.5R | 8.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.015% | 3.8R | -1.007% | 3.8R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.015% | 3.8R | -1.007% | 3.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.