Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 11.85 XMR at 364.54$ per unit. Take profit: 365.8898 (0.37 %) & Stop Loss: 363.8651 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 11.85 XMR at 364.54$ per unit. Take profit: 365.8898 (0.37 %) & Stop Loss: 363.8651 (0.19 %)
Position
Entry 364.54$
Qty 11.8535 XMR
Size 4321.0701$ (margin 100$) (leverage 43)
Risk Setup
TP 365.8898 (+0.37%)
TP $ 16$
SL 363.8651 (-0.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9076
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.83×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.17×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 04:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.201312 15m : 0.131067 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 06/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5879 | r1h: -0.022% · r4h: 0.544% · r1d: 3.85% · r3d: 0.91% · ema21_slope: 0.1553% · dist_ema21: 1.046% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5193 | rs_1h: 0.054% · rs_4h: 0.135% · rs_1d: 2.85% · rs_3d: -2.57% · beta_24h: -0.108 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3849 | rvol_20: 1.08× · zscore_50: 0.475 · trend: -4.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7338 | ADX: 34.5 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.641% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.222% | 1.2R | -0.398% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.247% | 1.3R | -1.245% | 6.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.247% | 1.3R | -1.267% | 6.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.401% | 2.2R | -1.267% | 6.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.730% | 3.9R | -1.267% | 6.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.31% | +0.70 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.39 | bull_high | +1.22% | -0.27 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.25 | bull_low | +1.09% | +0.27 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.4ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.50% | -0.03 | 06/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.468×ATR | p0 | +0.486×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.54×ATR | p61 | +0.751×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.326×ATR | p0 | +0.41×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.875×ATR | p8 | -0.265×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64719.5
0.00261787
64889
0.201312
64574.7
0.00486628
64889
0.131067
64017.4
0.0131151
64857
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 20:00:00
[1] => 364.1
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 22:00:00
[1] => 364.1
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 05:00:00
[1] => 361.81
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 08:00:00
[1] => 366.18
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 18:00:00
[1] => 363.36
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 23:00:00
[1] => 351.27
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 02:00:00
[1] => 357.54
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:00:00
[1] => 350.25
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 01:00:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 03:00:00
[1] => 363.14
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35386667392547
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.80685135209561
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.164840006609
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:30:00
[1] => 350.25
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 12:30:00
[1] => 355.34
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 16:30:00
[1] => 353.05
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 21:45:00
[1] => 366.77
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 00:45:00
[1] => 364.79
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 01:30:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 03:30:00
[1] => 363.14
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 06:30:00
[1] => 367.27
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 08:30:00
[1] => 364.45
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.74332235140359
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.024694745506937
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.77376869255042
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 03:25:00
[1] => 364.43
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 03:30:00
[1] => 363.14
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 03:40:00
[1] => 363.14
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 04:15:00
[1] => 365.12
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 04:40:00
[1] => 363.81
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 06:40:00
[1] => 367.27
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 06:50:00
[1] => 365.65
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 07:35:00
[1] => 365.58
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 07:55:00
[1] => 366.27
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 08:30:00
[1] => 364.45
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.47232915608703
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.024694745506937
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.49938263136232
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
363.14
194
0.7062
0.6941
0.3846
0.2681
0.48
0.2471
0.5853
0.7069
0.6182
0.0948
0.7129
0.9241
0.1995
0.1149
1
1.6969
2.773
0.45
0.55
1
7
1
0.4639
0.5924
6.3326
0.65
0.2471
1.5648
2.773
0.7099
0.2348
0.12
-0.2658
0.5379
0.6113
0.8577
0.9241
-0.6829
8.3101
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:34 | 364.54000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:58 | 364.01000000 | -0.145% |
| 3 | 05:05 | 364.11000000 | -0.118% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 03:25:00 | 364.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:30:00 | 363.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 03:40:00 | 363.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 04:15:00 | 365.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:40:00 | 363.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 06:40:00 | 367.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 06:50:00 | 365.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:35:00 | 365.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:55:00 | 366.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 08:30:00 | 364.45 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 350.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:30:00 | 355.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:30:00 | 353.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:45:00 | 366.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:45:00 | 364.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:30:00 | 363.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 06:30:00 | 367.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 08:30:00 | 364.45 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 364.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 364.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:00:00 | 361.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 366.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 18:00:00 | 363.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 351.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:00:00 | 357.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 350.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 363.14 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364.54 | 363.8651 | 365.8898 | 2 | 501.73 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 363.8651 - 364.54 = -0.67490000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 364.54 - 365.8898 = -1.3498
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3498 / -0.67490000000004 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4321.0701 | 100 | 11.8535 | 43.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.67490000000004 = -11.85
Taille de position USD = -11.85 x 364.54 = -4319.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -11.85 avec un stoploss a 363.8651
Avec un position size USD de -4319.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11.85 x -0.67490000000004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11.85 x -1.3498 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.214 % | 115.61 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364.54 | 363.8651 | 365.8898 | 2 | 501.73 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 363.8651 - 364.54 = -0.67490000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 364.54 - 365.8898 = -1.3498
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3498 / -0.67490000000004 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 365.8898
[entry_price] => 364.54
[stop_loss] => 363.79761
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 09:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 365.8898
[entry_price] => 364.54
[stop_loss] => 363.73012
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 09:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 365.8898
[entry_price] => 364.54
[stop_loss] => 363.66263
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 09:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 365.8898
[entry_price] => 364.54
[stop_loss] => 363.52765
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 09:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.222% | 1.2R | -0.398% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.247% | 1.3R | -1.245% | 6.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.247% | 1.3R | -1.267% | 6.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.401% | 2.2R | -1.267% | 6.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.730% | 3.9R | -1.267% | 6.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.