06 Aug 2026 at 05:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SKR (momentum_rotation_score)

With 9255.51 SKR at 0.00762$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008486 (11.34 %)

SKR SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 05:10 → 08:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.007622$

Qty 9255.5099 SKR

Size 70.5455$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 70.55$

SL 0.008486 (-11.34%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.58% / -0.41$ MAE -2.09% MFE +1.38% 0.1R expires 06 Aug 08:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 60269)
#46 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2112

Quality Score
0.361
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 05:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#46 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.34 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#46 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.34 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 4.15×ATR
4h clear
1d clear
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1)

06/08 05:00

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

06/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

06/08 04:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range compression 0
Operational bull expansion -1
Tactical bull expansion -1
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 05:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3607
Score SMA
0.5318
Rank
#46 / 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2112
Rank Norm SMA
0.5758
Calculé le
06/08/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3236 r1h: -1.580% · r4h: -3.508% · r1d: -15.07% · r3d: 16.56% · ema21_slope: -0.4493% · dist_ema21: -5.153%
Force Relative 25% 0.3342 rs_1h: -1.680% · rs_4h: -3.734% · rs_1d: -16.25% · rs_3d: 12.84% · beta_24h: -1.781
Volume 20% 0.1565 rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.690 · trend: -55.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5225 ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7040 ATR%: 3.888% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.336% (0.0009)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.378% 0.1R -2.086% 0.2R 0.7× 12
2h +1.378% 0.1R -2.086% 0.2R 0.7× 24
3h ★ +1.378% 0.1R -2.086% 0.2R 0.7× 36
4h +1.378% 0.1R -2.086% 0.2R 0.7× 48
8h +3.293% 0.3R -2.086% 0.2R 1.6× 96
12h +5.091% 0.5R -2.086% 0.2R 2.4× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.21
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% early bear_high -3.31% -0.79 05/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal range_high
41%
noisy_chop 42% mid 0.17 bull_high +1.22% +0.86 06/08 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression range_high
34%
noisy_chop 50% mid 0.09 bull_low +1.28% -0.91 06/08 04:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 41% early 0.04 range_low +0.46% -0.56 06/08 04:45
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 1b 3×ATR p10 +0.285×ATR p32
4h ↓ down mid 7b 4.461×ATR p74 -0.443×ATR p43
1h ↓ down mid 5b 3.368×ATR p62 -0.853×ATR p64
15m ↓ down early 3b 0.997×ATR p4 -0.099×ATR p6

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00848635
  2. atr: 0.00028812
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-06T12:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 45
  2. total: 47
  3. score: 0.3236
  4. confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.007622 0.008486 0.01821
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.007622
  • Stop Loss: 0.008486
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.008486 - 0.007622 = 0.000864

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.007622 - = 0.007622

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.007622 / 0.000864 = 8.8218

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
70.5455 70.5455 9255.5099 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.000864

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000864 = 9259.26

Taille de position USD = 9259.26 x 0.007622 = 70.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 9259.26 avec un stoploss a 0.008486

Avec un position size USD de 70.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9259.26 x 0.000864 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9259.26 x 0.007622 = 70.57

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 70.57$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9259.26
  • Taille de position USD 70.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 70.57
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 8.8218

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 70.55 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.34 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.41 $ -0.58
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0861 % 18.4 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.007622 0.008486 0.01821
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.007622
  • Stop Loss: 0.008486
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.008486 - 0.007622 = 0.000864

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.007622 - = 0.007622

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.007622 / 0.000864 = 8.8218

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.336% (0.0009)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.378% 0.1R -2.086% 0.2R 0.7× 12
2h +1.378% 0.1R -2.086% 0.2R 0.7× 24
3h ★ +1.378% 0.1R -2.086% 0.2R 0.7× 36
4h +1.378% 0.1R -2.086% 0.2R 0.7× 48
8h +3.293% 0.3R -2.086% 0.2R 1.6× 96
12h +5.091% 0.5R -2.086% 0.2R 2.4× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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