Short Trade on SKR (momentum_rotation_score)
With 9255.51 SKR at 0.00762$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008486 (11.34 %)
Short Trade on SKR (momentum_rotation_score)
With 9255.51 SKR at 0.00762$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008486 (11.34 %)
Position
Entry 0.007622$
Qty 9255.5099 SKR
Size 70.5455$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 70.55$
SL 0.008486 (-11.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2112
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.15×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 05:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 06/08 04:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3236 | r1h: -1.580% · r4h: -3.508% · r1d: -15.07% · r3d: 16.56% · ema21_slope: -0.4493% · dist_ema21: -5.153% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3342 | rs_1h: -1.680% · rs_4h: -3.734% · rs_1d: -16.25% · rs_3d: 12.84% · beta_24h: -1.781 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1565 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.690 · trend: -55.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5225 | ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7040 | ATR%: 3.888% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.378% | 0.1R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.378% | 0.1R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.378% | 0.1R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.378% | 0.1R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.293% | 0.3R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.091% | 0.5R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.31% | -0.79 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.17 | bull_high | +1.22% | +0.86 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.09 | bull_low | +1.28% | -0.91 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.04 | range_low | +0.46% | -0.56 | 06/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 3×ATR | p10 | +0.285×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 4.461×ATR | p74 | -0.443×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.368×ATR | p62 | -0.853×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.997×ATR | p4 | -0.099×ATR | p6 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.007622 | 0.008486 | 0.01821 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008486 - 0.007622 = 0.000864
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.007622 - = 0.007622
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.007622 / 0.000864 = 8.8218
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70.5455 | 70.5455 | 9255.5099 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000864 = 9259.26
Taille de position USD = 9259.26 x 0.007622 = 70.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 9259.26 avec un stoploss a 0.008486
Avec un position size USD de 70.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 9259.26 x 0.000864 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 9259.26 x 0.007622 = 70.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 70.57$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 70.55 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.41 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0861 % | 18.4 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.007622 | 0.008486 | 0.01821 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008486 - 0.007622 = 0.000864
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.007622 - = 0.007622
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.007622 / 0.000864 = 8.8218
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.378% | 0.1R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.378% | 0.1R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.378% | 0.1R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.378% | 0.1R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.293% | 0.3R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.091% | 0.5R | -2.086% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.