Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 5207.93 SPX at 0.331$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3346 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3299 (0.48 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 5207.93 SPX at 0.331$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3346 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3299 (0.48 %)
Position
Entry 0.3315$
Qty 5207.9265 SPX
Size 1726.3235$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3346 (+0.94%)
TP $ 16.14$
SL 0.3299 (-0.48%)
SL $ 8.33$
RR 1.94
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8089
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.76×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.19×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.514038 15m : 0.492323 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 06/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 06/08 14:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5414 | r1h: -0.230% · r4h: 0.895% · r1d: 0.71% · r3d: 0.43% · ema21_slope: 0.0518% · dist_ema21: 0.652% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5209 | rs_1h: 0.017% · rs_4h: 0.648% · rs_1d: 0.97% · rs_3d: -0.65% · beta_24h: 1.759 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2122 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.700 · trend: -5.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5714 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 49.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.408% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.766% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.190% | 0.4R | -0.766% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.259% | 0.5R | -0.917% | 1.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.685% | 1.4R | -1.391% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.935% | 1.9R | -1.391% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -3.79% | -0.65 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.64 | range_high | +0.71% | -0.00 | 06/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.69 | range_low | +0.63% | +0.01 | 06/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_medium |
42%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.16% | +0.16 | 06/08 14:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 4.601×ATR | p56 | +0.163×ATR | p20 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.837×ATR | p0 | +0.242×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.459×ATR | p0 | +0.072×ATR | p11 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.207×ATR | p3 | -0.249×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64589
-0.00178109
64474
0.514038
64643.1
-0.00261706
64474
0.492323
64079.3
0.00539355
64425
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0.8052
0.7051
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0.0344
1
0.2754
0.7059
0.6
0.4
1
3
1
0.4912
0.8641
3.4562
0.6
1.1381
3.1019
0.7059
0.5031
0.2036
0.86
0.3099
0.609
0.545
0.7769
0.7051
-1.6271
3.8912
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:35 | 0.33148000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 14:40 | 0.33058000 | -0.278% |
| 3 | 14:47 | 0.33036000 | -0.344% |
| 4 | 14:52 | 0.33002000 | -0.446% |
| 5 | 14:58 | 0.33004000 | -0.44% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 11:05:00 | 0.33352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:40:00 | 0.33786 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:10:00 | 0.32525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:15:00 | 0.32941 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:45:00 | 0.33975 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:15:00 | 0.33012 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 16:45:00 | 0.3356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 17:30:00 | 0.33473 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:20:00 | 0.33438 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:30:00 | 0.33148 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 0.3234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:00:00 | 0.3299 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 07:15:00 | 0.33217 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 08:45:00 | 0.3329 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 09:15:00 | 0.32753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 0.33799 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.32525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:45:00 | 0.33975 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:15:00 | 0.33012 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 18:30:00 | 0.33148 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 0.32752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.32746 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 0.31952 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 0.33366 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:00:00 | 0.3242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.3242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 0.33994 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 0.3234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.32525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.33975 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3315 | 0.3299 | 0.3346 | 1.94 | 0.4948 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3299 - 0.3315 = -0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3315 - 0.3346 = -0.0031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.0016 = 1.9375
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1726.3235 | 100 | 5207.9265 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0016 = -5000
Taille de position USD = -5000 x 0.3315 = -1657.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -5000 avec un stoploss a 0.3299
Avec un position size USD de -1657.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5000 x -0.0016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5000 x -0.0031 = 15.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 16.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 8.33 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.33 $ | -0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6546 % | 135.61 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3315 | 0.3299 | 0.3346 | 1.94 | 0.4948 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3299 - 0.3315 = -0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3315 - 0.3346 = -0.0031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.0016 = 1.9375
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.766% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.190% | 0.4R | -0.766% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.259% | 0.5R | -0.917% | 1.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.685% | 1.4R | -1.391% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.935% | 1.9R | -1.391% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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