Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 794.11 ETHFI at 0.353$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3447 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3636 (2.86 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 15:10:05
hyperliquid
ETHFI
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 15:10
→ 17:00
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.3535$
Qty 794.1109 ETHFI
Size 280.75$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3447 (+2.49%)
TP $ 6.99$
SL 0.3636 (-2.86%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.87
Status
loss
PnL
-0.43%
/ -1.21$
MAE -0.68%
MFE +1.36%
0.5R
expires
06 Aug 17:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=13 <= threshold=40/50
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60738)
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 15:00
score du 06/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0846
Quality Score
0.392
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 15:01
06/08 15:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.11×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 15:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3917
Score SMA
0.4302
Rank
#49
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0846
Rank Norm SMA
0.0852
Calculé le
06/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3028 | r1h: -0.857% · r4h: -1.857% · r1d: -3.48% · r3d: -11.58% · ema21_slope: -0.1366% · dist_ema21: -1.663% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3094 | rs_1h: -0.558% · rs_4h: -1.312% · rs_1d: -2.90% · rs_3d: -12.45% · beta_24h: 0.892 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2387 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.524 · trend: -25.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5054 | ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.219% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.857%
(0.0101)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -0.679% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -0.679% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +1.364% | 0.5R | -0.679% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 25 |
| 4h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -1.584% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -2.931% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -4.122% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.99
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.62 | bear_high | -3.79% | -0.98 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.42 | range_high | +0.71% | -0.84 | 06/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | range_low | +0.41% | -0.39 | 06/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -1.6ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.28% | -0.06 | 06/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.43×ATR | p59 | -1.098×ATR | p87 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.982×ATR | p0 | -0.611×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.851×ATR | p21 | -0.797×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.708×ATR | p0 | -0.81×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.36361416
- tp_price: 0.3447015
- atr: 0.00402966
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T01:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 51
- score: 0.3028
- delta_2h: -0.0313
- extension_atr: -1.37
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0846
- confidence: 0.96
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:10 | 0.35354000 | +0.011% |
| 2 | 16:10 | 0.35242000 | -0.306% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3535 | 0.3636 | 0.3447 | 0.87 | 0.6199 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3535
- Stop Loss: 0.3636
- Take Profit: 0.3447
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3636 - 0.3535 = 0.0101
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3535 - 0.3447 = 0.0088
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0088 / 0.0101 = 0.8713
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 280.75 | 100 | 794.1109 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0101
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0101 = 792.08
Taille de position USD = 792.08 x 0.3535 = 280
Donc, tu peux acheter 792.08 avec un stoploss a 0.3636
Avec un position size USD de 280$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 792.08 x 0.0101 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 792.08 x 0.0088 = 6.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position 792.08
- Taille de position USD 280
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8713
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 6.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.86 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.21 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6789 % | 23.76 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3535 | 0.3636 | 0.3447 | 0.87 | 0.6199 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3535
- Stop Loss: 0.3636
- Take Profit: 0.3447
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3636 - 0.3535 = 0.0101
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3535 - 0.3447 = 0.0088
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0088 / 0.0101 = 0.8713
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.857%
(0.0101)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -0.679% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -0.679% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +1.364% | 0.5R | -0.679% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 25 |
| 4h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -1.584% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -2.931% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.364% | 0.5R | -4.122% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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