Long Trade on LIT

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06 Aug 2026 at 18:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 94.84 LIT at 2.324$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3821 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2396 (3.63 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 18:10 → 19:55 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 2.324$

Qty 94.8421 LIT

Size 220.413$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 2.3821 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.51$

SL 2.2396 (-3.63%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.69

Status win PnL +2.50% / +5.51$ MAE -0.89% MFE +4.61% 1.3R expires 07 Aug 00:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 60903)

#1 / 50 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9561

Quality Score

0.710

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

12.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 18:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#1 / 50 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.63 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 50 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.63 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	near	-0.89×ATR
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 18:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

06/08 18:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 06/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

06/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

06/08 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	compression	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.57

Transition risk : 0.43

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.74

Snapshot évalué : 06/08 18:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.7102

Score SMA

0.6169

Rank

#1 / 50

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9561

Rank Norm SMA

0.9027

Calculé le

06/08/2026 18:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7880	r1h: 1.797% · r4h: 0.445% · r1d: 7.45% · r3d: 14.18% · ema21_slope: 0.2822% · dist_ema21: 3.548%
Force Relative	25%	0.7924	rs_1h: 1.757% · rs_4h: 0.681% · rs_1d: 7.87% · rs_3d: 12.80% · beta_24h: 1.156
Volume	20%	0.3160	rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: -0.169 · trend: 1.12%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7502	ADX: 30.0 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.519% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.632% (0.0844)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.071%	0.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	1.2×	12
2h	+4.105%	1.1R	-0.886%	0.2R	4.6×	24
4h	+4.608%	1.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	5.2×	48
6h ★	+4.608%	1.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	5.2×	72
8h	+4.608%	1.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	5.2×	96
12h	+4.608%	1.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	5.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 6.21

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	—	—	—	bear_high	-3.79%	-0.10	05/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	near -0.9ATR	0.36	range_high	+0.69%	+0.69	06/08 16:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	—	0.47	range_low	+0.44%	+0.50	06/08 17:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.49	range_low	-0.19%	+0.20	06/08 17:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	31b	—	2.564×ATR	p0	+0.824×ATR	p78
4h	↑ up	late	16b	—	4.477×ATR	p81	+1.197×ATR	p87
1h	↑ up	late	1b	—	1.511×ATR	p2	+1.133×ATR	p88
15m	↑ up	early	6b	—	2.65×ATR	p43	+0.712×ATR	p58

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 2.23964927
tp_price: 2.3821
atr: 0.03374029
expires_at: 2026-08-07T04:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 2
total: 52
score: 0.788
delta_2h: 0.0853
extension_atr: 2.54
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9561
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	18:10	2.32400000	0%
2	19:10	2.33460000	+0.456%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.324	2.2396	2.3821	0.69	4.5954

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.324
Stop Loss: 2.2396
Take Profit: 2.3821

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.2396 - 2.324 = -0.0844
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.324 - 2.3821 = -0.0581
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0581 / -0.0844 = 0.6884

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
220.413	100	94.8421	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0844

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0844 = -94.79

Taille de position USD = -94.79 x 2.324 = -220.29

Donc, tu peux acheter -94.79 avec un stoploss a 2.2396

Avec un position size USD de -220.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -94.79 x -0.0844 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -94.79 x -0.0581 = 5.51

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.51$

Résumé

Taille de position -94.79
Taille de position USD -220.29
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.51
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6884

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.51 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.63 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
5.51 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.8864 %	24.41 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.324	2.2396	2.3821	0.69	4.5954

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.324
Stop Loss: 2.2396
Take Profit: 2.3821

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.2396 - 2.324 = -0.0844
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.324 - 2.3821 = -0.0581
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0581 / -0.0844 = 0.6884

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.632% (0.0844)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.071%	0.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	1.2×	12
2h	+4.105%	1.1R	-0.886%	0.2R	4.6×	24
4h	+4.608%	1.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	5.2×	48
6h ★	+4.608%	1.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	5.2×	72
8h	+4.608%	1.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	5.2×	96
12h	+4.608%	1.3R	-0.886%	0.2R	5.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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