Long Trade on ADA (CatchTheWave)
With 7700.3 ADA at 0.201$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2033 (1.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2002 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on ADA (CatchTheWave)
With 7700.3 ADA at 0.201$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2033 (1.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2002 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 0.2012$
Qty 7700.3042 ADA
Size 1549.4552$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2033 (+1.04%)
TP $ 16.17$
SL 0.2002 (-0.5%)
SL $ 7.7$
RR 2.1
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9463
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 5.82×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 19:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.158551 15m : 0.364158 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 06/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 06/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6397 | r1h: -1.071% · r4h: -1.331% · r1d: 5.78% · r3d: 3.81% · ema21_slope: 0.3650% · dist_ema21: 2.112% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5370 | rs_1h: -0.909% · rs_4h: -1.207% · rs_1d: 6.22% · rs_3d: 2.66% · beta_24h: 1.705 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2736 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.114 · trend: 10.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8043 | ADX: 36.5 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.124% | 0.3R | -0.860% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.830% | 1.7R | -0.860% | 1.7R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.830% | 1.7R | -1.173% | 2.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.317% | 2.7R | -1.292% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.317% | 2.7R | -1.292% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -3.79% | +0.96 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.59 | range_high | +0.56% | +0.33 | 06/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | +0.25% | +0.56 | 06/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.34% | -0.03 | 06/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.627×ATR | p70 | +1.66×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.319×ATR | p57 | +1.314×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.634×ATR | p49 | +0.11×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.851×ATR | p20 | -0.82×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64485.4
-0.00262797
64316
0.158551
64560.8
-0.00379322
64316
0.364158
64156.2
0.00259871
64323
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1.6569
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0.4998
0.5232
7.0909
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3.8266
12.1066
1.6569
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0.2583
0.82
0.7083
0.6331
0.5501
0.8283
0.725
-2.9835
7.8654
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:14 | 0.20122000 | +0.01% |
| 2 | 19:20 | 0.20054000 | -0.328% |
| 3 | 19:26 | 0.20022000 | -0.487% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 14:55:00 | 0.19986 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:45:00 | 0.21115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:15:00 | 0.2036 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 16:40:00 | 0.21146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 17:45:00 | 0.20325 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 18:20:00 | 0.20743 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:50:00 | 0.20063 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:30:00 | 0.2014 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 22:05:00 | 0.20538 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.20041 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 08:15:00 | 0.18947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 10:00:00 | 0.18789 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:45:00 | 0.19253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.19018 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 16:30:00 | 0.21146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 17:45:00 | 0.20325 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 18:15:00 | 0.20743 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:45:00 | 0.20063 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 22:00:00 | 0.20538 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.20041 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 0.19933 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 18:00:00 | 0.191 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 21:00:00 | 0.19445 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 0.18976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 0.19867 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 0.18862 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 0.19255 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 0.18586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 16:00:00 | 0.21146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.20041 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2012 | 0.2002 | 0.2033 | 2.1 | 0.2078 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2002 - 0.2012 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2012 - 0.2033 = -0.0021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.001 = 2.1
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1549.4552 | 100 | 7700.3042 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.001 = -8000
Taille de position USD = -8000 x 0.2012 = -1609.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -8000 avec un stoploss a 0.2002
Avec un position size USD de -1609.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8000 x -0.001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8000 x -0.0021 = 16.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.8$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.04 % | 16.17 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 7.7 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.7 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8598 % | 173 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2012 | 0.2002 | 0.2033 | 2.1 | 0.2078 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2002 - 0.2012 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2012 - 0.2033 = -0.0021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.001 = 2.1
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.124% | 0.3R | -0.860% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.830% | 1.7R | -0.860% | 1.7R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.830% | 1.7R | -1.173% | 2.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.317% | 2.7R | -1.292% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.317% | 2.7R | -1.292% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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