06 Aug 2026 at 20:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SKR (momentum_rotation_score)

With 17290.94 SKR at 0.00722$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.007686 (6.41 %)

SKR SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 20:10 → 23:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.007223$

Qty 17290.9417 SKR

Size 124.8925$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 124.89$

SL 0.007686 (-6.41%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -3.61% / -4.51$ MAE -5.07% MFE +0.79% 0.1R expires 06 Aug 23:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61004)
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0552

Quality Score
0.410
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 20:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 5.15×ATR
4h clear
1d clear
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

06/08 20:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

06/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

06/08 19:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression 0
Operational range compression 0
Tactical range compression 0
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.70
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 20:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4101
Score SMA
0.4274
Rank
#49 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0552
Rank Norm SMA
0.1328
Calculé le
06/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3402 r1h: -0.069% · r4h: -1.167% · r1d: -9.34% · r3d: 11.39% · ema21_slope: -0.3950% · dist_ema21: -4.256%
Force Relative 25% 0.4654 rs_1h: 0.125% · rs_4h: -0.824% · rs_1d: -8.67% · rs_3d: 10.29% · beta_24h: -1.302
Volume 20% 0.1472 rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.792 · trend: -61.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4148 ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 64.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.424% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.410% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.789% 0.1R -2.312% 0.4R 0.3× 12
2h +0.789% 0.1R -5.067% 0.8R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.789% 0.1R -5.067% 0.8R 0.2× 36
4h +0.789% 0.1R -8.390% 1.3R 0.1× 48
8h +0.789% 0.1R -8.390% 1.3R 0.1× 96
12h +0.789% 0.1R -8.390% 1.3R 0.1× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.21
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% early bear_high -3.79% -0.84 05/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 41% late 0.16 range_high +0.47% +0.72 06/08 16:00
1h ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 46% late 0.09 range_low +0.07% -0.77 06/08 19:00
15m ↓ down late_trend bear_trend moderate fading compression bear_medium
57%
noisy_chop 40% late range_low -0.44% -0.14 06/08 19:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 1b 3.136×ATR p10 +0.141×ATR p17
4h ↓ down late 10b 5.519×ATR p87 -0.62×ATR p62
1h ↓ down late 20b 7.475×ATR p89 -1.071×ATR p73
15m ↓ down late 29b 9.641×ATR p100 -0.779×ATR p59

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00768567
  2. atr: 0.00015422
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-07T03:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 46
  2. total: 50
  3. score: 0.3402
  4. confidence: 0.918

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.007223 0.007686 0.01892
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.007223
  • Stop Loss: 0.007686
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.007686 - 0.007223 = 0.000463

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.007223 - = 0.007223

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.007223 / 0.000463 = 15.6004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
124.8925 100 17290.9417 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.000463

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000463 = 17278.62

Taille de position USD = 17278.62 x 0.007223 = 124.8

Donc, tu peux acheter 17278.62 avec un stoploss a 0.007686

Avec un position size USD de 124.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17278.62 x 0.000463 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17278.62 x 0.007223 = 124.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 124.8$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17278.62
  • Taille de position USD 124.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 124.8
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 15.6004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 124.89 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.41 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-4.51 $ -3.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.0671 % 79.05 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.007223 0.007686 0.01892
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.007223
  • Stop Loss: 0.007686
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.007686 - 0.007223 = 0.000463

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.007223 - = 0.007223

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.007223 / 0.000463 = 15.6004

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.007223
            [stop_loss] => 0.0077323
            [rr_ratio] => 14.18
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 03:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.007223
            [stop_loss] => 0.0077786
            [rr_ratio] => 13
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 03:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.007223
            [stop_loss] => 0.0078249
            [rr_ratio] => 12
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 03:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.410% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.789% 0.1R -2.312% 0.4R 0.3× 12
2h +0.789% 0.1R -5.067% 0.8R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.789% 0.1R -5.067% 0.8R 0.2× 36
4h +0.789% 0.1R -8.390% 1.3R 0.1× 48
8h +0.789% 0.1R -8.390% 1.3R 0.1× 96
12h +0.789% 0.1R -8.390% 1.3R 0.1× 144

computed 1 month ago

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