Short Trade on FET (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1956.86 FET at 0.136$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1327 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1402 (3.01 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05
hyperliquid
FET
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 21:10
→ 03:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.1361$
Qty 1956.8562 FET
Size 266.3477$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1327 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.65$
SL 0.1402 (-3.01%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.83
Status
win
PnL
+1.80%
/ +4.79$
MAE -0.06%
MFE +1.95%
0.7R
expires
07 Aug 03:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60928)
#44 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 19:00
score du 06/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4585
Quality Score
0.428
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
963,201 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 21:00
06/08 21:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#44 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 21:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 16:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 21:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4280
Score SMA
0.5134
Rank
#44
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4585
Rank Norm SMA
0.5677
Calculé le
06/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3298 | r1h: -0.865% · r4h: -0.966% · r1d: -4.38% · r3d: -6.07% · ema21_slope: -0.1994% · dist_ema21: -1.838% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3438 | rs_1h: -0.703% · rs_4h: -0.841% · rs_1d: -3.94% · rs_3d: -7.22% · beta_24h: 3.153 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1973 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.668 · trend: -18.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6907 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.244% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.013%
(0.0041)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.448% | 0.5R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 24.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.448% | 0.5R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 24.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.639% | 0.5R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 27.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.954% | 0.7R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 33.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.578% | 1.2R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 60.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.578% | 1.2R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 60.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -3.79% | -0.91 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.63 | range_high | +0.47% | -0.46 | 06/08 16:00 |
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0.722×ATR | p0 | -0.63×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 0.539×ATR | p0 | -0.937×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.14019819
- tp_price: 0.13270725
- atr: 0.00163527
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T07:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 50
- score: 0.3298
- delta_2h: -0.0213
- extension_atr: -1.17
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4585
- confidence: 0.959
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1361 | 0.1402 | 0.1327 | 0.83 | 0.1696 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1361
- Stop Loss: 0.1402
- Take Profit: 0.1327
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1402 - 0.1361 = 0.0041
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1361 - 0.1327 = 0.0034
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0041 = 0.8293
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 266.3477 | 100 | 1956.8562 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0041
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0041 = 1951.22
Taille de position USD = 1951.22 x 0.1361 = 265.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 1951.22 avec un stoploss a 0.1402
Avec un position size USD de 265.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0041 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0034 = 6.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.63$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1951.22
- Taille de position USD 265.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.63
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8293
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.01 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.79 $ | 1.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0588 % | 1.95 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1361 | 0.1402 | 0.1327 | 0.83 | 0.1696 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1361
- Stop Loss: 0.1402
- Take Profit: 0.1327
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1402 - 0.1361 = 0.0041
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1361 - 0.1327 = 0.0034
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0041 = 0.8293
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.013%
(0.0041)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.448% | 0.5R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 24.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.448% | 0.5R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 24.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.639% | 0.5R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 27.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.954% | 0.7R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 33.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.578% | 1.2R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 60.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.578% | 1.2R | -0.059% | 0.0R | 60.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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