Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1383.99 ADA at 0.2$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2146 (7.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1944 (2.9 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 22:08:33
hyperliquid
ADA
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 22:08
→ 10:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.2002$
Qty 1383.9897 ADA
Size 277.0194$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2146 (+7.19%)
TP $ 19.93$
SL 0.1944 (-2.9%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.48
Status
loss
PnL
-0.55%
/ -1.52$
MAE -1.01%
MFE +1.82%
0.6R
expires
07 Aug 10:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61074)
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 22:00
score du 06/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9329
Quality Score
0.588
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
15.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 22:00
06/08 22:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 6.57×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 22:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 06/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 06/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 22:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5875
Score SMA
0.5880
Rank
#6
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9329
Rank Norm SMA
0.7171
Calculé le
06/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6383 | r1h: -0.560% · r4h: -1.931% · r1d: 5.22% · r3d: 4.01% · ema21_slope: 0.3667% · dist_ema21: 0.890% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5305 | rs_1h: -0.655% · rs_4h: -1.830% · rs_1d: 5.55% · rs_3d: 3.18% · beta_24h: 1.656 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2178 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.440 · trend: -14.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7988 | ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 28.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.638% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.897%
(0.0058)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -0.679% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -0.734% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.844% | 0.3R | -0.799% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.823% | 0.6R | -0.799% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.823% | 0.6R | -1.009% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.823% | 0.6R | -1.843% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.56
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.96 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | range_high | +0.52% | +0.34 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | +0.30% | +0.62 | 06/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.20% | -0.11 | 06/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.616×ATR | p70 | +1.158×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.598×ATR | p0 | +0.743×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.306×ATR | p71 | -0.175×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.853×ATR | p17 | -0.88×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8164
- reason: up_bo width=2.78×ATR dur=74b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.19437961
- tp_price: 0.21461098
- atr:
- score: 0.81640480601542
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T14:08:25.127627
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81640480601542
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1099
- obi_top10 : 0.1318
- micro_price : 0.19984116
- spread_pct : 0.05005
- mid_price : 0.19985
- bid_wall_price : 0.198
- bid_wall_size : 8285315
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.201
- ask_wall_size : 6335716
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1084
- obi_top5_std : 0.0014
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7096
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.199
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.19038
- balance_zone_mid:
0.19469
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785805200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786068000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7771
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
74
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8164
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786024800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.199
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6351
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
12
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3737
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
22
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00310393 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
74
inside_close_ratio
0.6351
bars_since_breakout
12
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3737
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:08 | 0.20016000 | -0.02% |
| 2 | 22:14 | 0.20016000 | -0.02% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7096ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.110
avg 0.108
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.132
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1999
Micro Price
0.1998
Spread
0.0501%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1980
Size
8,285,315.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2010
Size
6,335,716.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2002 | 0.1944 | 0.2146 | 2.48 | 0.2075 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2002
- Stop Loss: 0.1944
- Take Profit: 0.2146
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1944 - 0.2002 = -0.0058
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2002 - 0.2146 = -0.0144
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0144 / -0.0058 = 2.4828
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 277.0194 | 100 | 1383.9897 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0058
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0058 = -1379.31
Taille de position USD = -1379.31 x 0.2002 = -276.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -1379.31 avec un stoploss a 0.1944
Avec un position size USD de -276.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1379.31 x -0.0058 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1379.31 x -0.0144 = 19.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.86$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1379.31
- Taille de position USD -276.14
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.86
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4828
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.19 % | 19.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.9 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.52 $ | -0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.009 % | 34.83 % | 27 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2002 | 0.1944 | 0.2146 | 2.48 | 0.2075 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2002
- Stop Loss: 0.1944
- Take Profit: 0.2146
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1944 - 0.2002 = -0.0058
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2002 - 0.2146 = -0.0144
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0144 / -0.0058 = 2.4828
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.897%
(0.0058)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -0.679% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -0.734% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.844% | 0.3R | -0.799% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.823% | 0.6R | -0.799% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.823% | 0.6R | -1.009% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.823% | 0.6R | -1.843% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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