Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 92.04 LTC at 45.468$ per unit. Take profit: 45.6418 (0.38 %) & Stop Loss: 45.3811 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 92.04 LTC at 45.468$ per unit. Take profit: 45.6418 (0.38 %) & Stop Loss: 45.3811 (0.19 %)
Position
Entry 45.468$
Qty 92.0378 LTC
Size 4184.7727$ (margin 100$) (leverage 42)
Risk Setup
TP 45.6418 (+0.38%)
TP $ 16$
SL 45.3811 (-0.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7219
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.21×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.86×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.82×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 23:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.538085 15m : 0.513374 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 06/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 06/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5487 | r1h: -0.075% · r4h: 0.257% · r1d: 1.38% · r3d: 2.83% · ema21_slope: 0.0514% · dist_ema21: 0.356% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5368 | rs_1h: -0.065% · rs_4h: 0.153% · rs_1d: 1.63% · rs_3d: 1.90% · beta_24h: 0.340 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1734 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.400 · trend: -57.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5552 | ADX: 18.0 (weak) · Chop: 49.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.299% | 1.6R | -0.167% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.299% | 1.6R | -0.343% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.359% | 1.9R | -0.343% | 1.8R | 1.0× | 47 |
| 8h | +1.060% | 5.6R | -0.343% | 1.8R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.104% | 5.8R | -0.343% | 1.8R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.24 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -1.9ATR | 0.68 | range_high | +0.56% | +0.21 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.59 | range_low | +0.35% | +0.18 | 06/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.12% | +0.00 | 06/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.224×ATR | p0 | +0.242×ATR | p31 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 22b | — | 3.849×ATR | p70 | +0.754×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.317×ATR | p0 | +0.268×ATR | p29 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.627×ATR | p33 | -0.023×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64349.4
-0.000130967
64341
0.538085
64470.3
-0.00200624
64341
0.513374
64177.1
0.00326977
64387
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
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45.332
196
0.7709
0.5877
0.4299
0.2322
0.5917
0.4732
0.4914
0.761
0.7644
0.2997
0.5884
0.8662
0.0808
0.0814
1
0.8391
2.0814
0.75
0.25
1
9
1
0.5356
0.3974
4.9725
0.6
0.4732
2.353
2.0814
0.6164
0.2507
0.12
0.0416
0.469
0.5587
0.7617
0.8662
-1.3291
8.6005
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 21:35:00 | 45.648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 22:20:00 | 45.406 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 23:20:00 | 45.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:25:00 | 45.615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 45.666 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:30:00 | 45.668 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:40:00 | 45.543 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:10:00 | 45.521 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 45.46 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 07:00:00 | 44.965 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 09:00:00 | 45.123 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 16:30:00 | 45.588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:45:00 | 45.352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 21:30:00 | 45.648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 45.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 45.46 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 44.104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 45.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 44.702 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 44.709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 45.426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 44.869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 45.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.468 | 45.3811 | 45.6418 | 2 | 53.56 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.3811 - 45.468 = -0.0869
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.468 - 45.6418 = -0.1738
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1738 / -0.0869 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4184.7727 | 100 | 92.0378 | 42.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0869 = -92.06
Taille de position USD = -92.06 x 45.468 = -4185.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -92.06 avec un stoploss a 45.3811
Avec un position size USD de -4185.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -92.06 x -0.0869 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -92.06 x -0.1738 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2023 % | 105.86 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.468 | 45.3811 | 45.6418 | 2 | 53.56 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.3811 - 45.468 = -0.0869
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.468 - 45.6418 = -0.1738
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1738 / -0.0869 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.299% | 1.6R | -0.167% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.299% | 1.6R | -0.343% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.359% | 1.9R | -0.343% | 1.8R | 1.0× | 47 |
| 8h | +1.060% | 5.6R | -0.343% | 1.8R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.104% | 5.8R | -0.343% | 1.8R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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