Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1015.66 WLD at 0.299$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2912 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3065 (2.61 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 00:10:04
hyperliquid
WLD
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 00:10
→ 02:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2987$
Qty 1015.6576 WLD
Size 303.3363$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2912 (+2.51%)
TP $ 7.62$
SL 0.3065 (-2.61%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 0.96
Status
win
PnL
+0.26%
/ +0.8$
MAE -0.29%
MFE +1.96%
0.8R
expires
07 Aug 02:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=17 <= threshold=38/48
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61166)
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 00:00
score du 07/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1027
Quality Score
0.376
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
8.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 00:00
07/08 00:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#48 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.34×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 00:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 07/08 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3759
Score SMA
0.4467
Rank
#48
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1027
Rank Norm SMA
0.1473
Calculé le
07/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3130 | r1h: -1.082% · r4h: -1.343% · r1d: -4.11% · r3d: -9.08% · ema21_slope: -0.1499% · dist_ema21: -1.721% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2982 | rs_1h: -1.018% · rs_4h: -1.388% · rs_1d: -3.82% · rs_3d: -9.94% · beta_24h: 1.787 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1655 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.518 · trend: -53.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4954 | ADX: 35.8 (trend) · Chop: 75.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.068% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.611%
(0.0078)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.720% | 0.3R | -0.295% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.955% | 0.8R | -0.295% | 0.1R | 6.6× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +1.955% | 0.8R | -0.295% | 0.1R | 6.6× | 25 |
| 4h | +1.955% | 0.8R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.955% | 0.8R | -3.214% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.955% | 0.8R | -4.208% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.97 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.46 | range_high | +0.50% | -0.68 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.61 | range_low | +0.24% | -0.31 | 06/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.22% | -0.07 | 06/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 51b | — | 17.982×ATR | p100 | -0.648×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 4.229×ATR | p60 | -0.831×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.544×ATR | p2 | -0.985×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.864×ATR | p64 | -0.931×ATR | p85 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.30653667
- tp_price: 0.2911935
- atr: 0.00315067
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T10:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 46
- total: 49
- score: 0.313
- delta_2h: -0.0584
- extension_atr: -1.52
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1027
- confidence: 0.938
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:10 | 0.29866000 | -0.013% |
| 2 | 01:10 | 0.29843000 | -0.09% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2987 | 0.3065 | 0.2912 | 0.96 | 0.4112 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2987
- Stop Loss: 0.3065
- Take Profit: 0.2912
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3065 - 0.2987 = 0.0078
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2987 - 0.2912 = 0.0075
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0075 / 0.0078 = 0.9615
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 303.3363 | 100 | 1015.6576 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0078
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0078 = 1025.64
Taille de position USD = 1025.64 x 0.2987 = 306.36
Donc, tu peux acheter 1025.64 avec un stoploss a 0.3065
Avec un position size USD de 306.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1025.64 x 0.0078 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1025.64 x 0.0075 = 7.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.69$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1025.64
- Taille de position USD 306.36
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.69
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9615
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 7.62 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.61 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.8 $ | 0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2946 % | 11.28 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2987 | 0.3065 | 0.2912 | 0.96 | 0.4112 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2987
- Stop Loss: 0.3065
- Take Profit: 0.2912
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3065 - 0.2987 = 0.0078
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2987 - 0.2912 = 0.0075
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0075 / 0.0078 = 0.9615
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.611%
(0.0078)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.720% | 0.3R | -0.295% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.955% | 0.8R | -0.295% | 0.1R | 6.6× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +1.955% | 0.8R | -0.295% | 0.1R | 6.6× | 25 |
| 4h | +1.955% | 0.8R | -0.760% | 0.3R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.955% | 0.8R | -3.214% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.955% | 0.8R | -4.208% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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