Short Trade on kSHIB (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 91774.69 kSHIB at 0.00459$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004474 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004676 (1.9 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 01:10:05
hyperliquid
kSHIB
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 01:10
→ 01:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 0.004589$
Qty 91774.6931 kSHIB
Size 421.1541$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.004474 (+2.51%)
TP $ 10.55$
SL 0.004676 (-1.9%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 1.32
Status
loss
PnL
-0.07%
/ -0.28$
MAE -0.87%
MFE +0.26%
0.1R
expires
07 Aug 01:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=34 <= threshold=38/48
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61215)
#34 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 01:00
score du 07/08/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3257
Quality Score
0.461
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 01:00
07/08 01:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#34 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#34 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 01:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 07/08 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 07/08 01:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4611
Score SMA
0.4796
Rank
#34
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3257
Rank Norm SMA
0.3661
Calculé le
07/08/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2710 | r1h: -1.952% · r4h: -2.183% · r1d: -5.27% · r3d: -8.45% · ema21_slope: -0.1394% · dist_ema21: -2.769% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2465 | rs_1h: -1.912% · rs_4h: -2.098% · rs_1d: -4.54% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: 1.332 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3788 | rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: 0.349 · trend: -11.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9495 | ADX: 53.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.821% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -1.896%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.262% | 0.1R | -0.392% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.262% | 0.1R | -0.719% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.262% | 0.1R | -0.872% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.262% | 0.1R | -2.027% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.414% | 0.2R | -2.027% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.86 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.51 | range_high | +0.40% | -0.69 | 07/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.26 | range_low | +0.10% | -0.38 | 07/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.33% | -0.22 | 07/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 4.577×ATR | p61 | -0.287×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 5.458×ATR | p89 | -1.38×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.731×ATR | p68 | -2.316×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 5.873×ATR | p94 | -3.228×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00467617
- tp_price: 0.00447427
- atr: 3.487E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T11:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 49
- score: 0.271
- delta_2h: -0.1146
- extension_atr: -2.83
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3257
- confidence: 0.979
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004589 | 0.004676 | 0.004474 | 1.32 | 0.005028 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004589
- Stop Loss: 0.004676
- Take Profit: 0.004474
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004676 - 0.004589 = 8.6999999999999E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004589 - 0.004474 = 0.000115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000115 / 8.6999999999999E-5 = 1.3218
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 421.1541 | 100 | 91774.6931 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 8.6999999999999E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 8.6999999999999E-5 = 91954.02
Taille de position USD = 91954.02 x 0.004589 = 421.98
Donc, tu peux acheter 91954.02 avec un stoploss a 0.004676
Avec un position size USD de 421.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 91954.02 x 8.6999999999999E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 91954.02 x 0.000115 = 10.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10.57$
Résumé
- Taille de position 91954.02
- Taille de position USD 421.98
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 10.57
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.3218
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 10.55 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.9 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.28 $ | -0.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.109 % | 5.75 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004589 | 0.004676 | 0.004474 | 1.32 | 0.005028 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004589
- Stop Loss: 0.004676
- Take Profit: 0.004474
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004676 - 0.004589 = 8.6999999999999E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004589 - 0.004474 = 0.000115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000115 / 8.6999999999999E-5 = 1.3218
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -1.896%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.262% | 0.1R | -0.392% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.262% | 0.1R | -0.719% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.262% | 0.1R | -0.872% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.262% | 0.1R | -2.027% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.414% | 0.2R | -2.027% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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