Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 240.26 NEAR at 1.643$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6021 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6765 (2.03 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 01:10:05
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 01:10
→ 01:20
· 9 minutes
Position
Entry 1.6432$
Qty 240.2578 NEAR
Size 394.7916$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6021 (+2.5%)
TP $ 9.87$
SL 1.6765 (-2.03%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.23
Status
win
PnL
+0.65%
/ +2.55$
MAE -0.86%
MFE +1.31%
0.7R
expires
07 Aug 01:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=28 <= threshold=38/48
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61219)
#28 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 01:00
score du 07/08/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3240
Quality Score
0.478
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 01:00
07/08 01:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#28 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#28 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.30×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 01:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 07/08 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 07/08 01:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4782
Score SMA
0.4817
Rank
#28
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3240
Rank Norm SMA
0.3806
Calculé le
07/08/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3288 | r1h: -0.785% · r4h: -1.895% · r1d: -5.71% · r3d: -7.23% · ema21_slope: -0.1462% · dist_ema21: -2.201% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3057 | rs_1h: -0.745% · rs_4h: -1.810% · rs_1d: -4.99% · rs_3d: -7.58% · beta_24h: 0.197 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4569 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: 0.516 · trend: -5.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7453 | ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 46.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.866% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.027%
(0.0333)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.315% | 0.7R | -0.061% | 0.0R | 21.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.315% | 0.7R | -0.061% | 0.0R | 21.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.315% | 0.7R | -0.858% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.315% | 0.7R | -1.521% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.939% | 1.5R | -1.521% | 0.8R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.6
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.89 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | range_high | +0.40% | -0.60 | 07/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.10% | -0.35 | 07/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.33% | -0.15 | 07/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 23b | — | 5.321×ATR | p70 | -0.523×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 4.912×ATR | p75 | -1.095×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.072×ATR | p93 | -1.613×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 5.776×ATR | p94 | -1.921×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.67649757
- tp_price: 1.60212
- atr: 0.01331903
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T11:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 49
- score: 0.3288
- delta_2h: -0.0849
- extension_atr: -1.61
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.324
- confidence: 0.917
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6432 | 1.6765 | 1.6021 | 1.23 | 2.4736 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6432
- Stop Loss: 1.6765
- Take Profit: 1.6021
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6765 - 1.6432 = 0.0333
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6432 - 1.6021 = 0.0411
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0411 / 0.0333 = 1.2342
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 394.7916 | 100 | 240.2578 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0333
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0333 = 240.24
Taille de position USD = 240.24 x 1.6432 = 394.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 240.24 avec un stoploss a 1.6765
Avec un position size USD de 394.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 240.24 x 0.0333 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 240.24 x 0.0411 = 9.87
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.87$
Résumé
- Taille de position 240.24
- Taille de position USD 394.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 9.87
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2342
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 9.87 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.03 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.55 $ | 0.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0609 % | 3.01 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6432 | 1.6765 | 1.6021 | 1.23 | 2.4736 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6432
- Stop Loss: 1.6765
- Take Profit: 1.6021
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6765 - 1.6432 = 0.0333
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6432 - 1.6021 = 0.0411
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0411 / 0.0333 = 1.2342
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.027%
(0.0333)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.315% | 0.7R | -0.061% | 0.0R | 21.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.315% | 0.7R | -0.061% | 0.0R | 21.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.315% | 0.7R | -0.858% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.315% | 0.7R | -1.521% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.939% | 1.5R | -1.521% | 0.8R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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