Long Trade on XPL

Previous Trade Next Trade

07 Aug 2026 at 02:10:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2959.03 XPL at 0.0793$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0813 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07661 (3.4 %)

XPL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 02:10 → 06:15 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.07931$

Qty 2959.0286 XPL

Size 234.6894$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0813 (+2.51%)

TP $ 5.89$

SL 0.07661 (-3.4%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.74

Status loss PnL -2.81% / -6.6$ MAE -2.88% MFE +0.32% 0.1R expires 07 Aug 06:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=17 > threshold=10/48

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61288)

#2 / 48 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7350

Quality Score

0.745

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

5.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 02:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#2 / 48 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.40 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 48 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.40 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.66×ATR
4h	near	-0.19×ATR
1d	clear	4.78×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 02:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

07/08 02:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 07/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 01:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

06/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

07/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

07/08 01:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	compression	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.70

Snapshot évalué : 07/08 02:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.7447

Score SMA

0.5254

Rank

#2 / 48

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7350

Rank Norm SMA

0.6012

Calculé le

07/08/2026 02:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6863	r1h: 1.909% · r4h: 2.928% · r1d: 6.39% · r3d: 1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.1424% · dist_ema21: 3.777%
Force Relative	25%	0.7399	rs_1h: 1.879% · rs_4h: 3.155% · rs_1d: 7.34% · rs_3d: 0.50% · beta_24h: 1.201
Volume	20%	0.7675	rvol_20: 2.85× · zscore_50: 1.254 · trend: 30.48%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6689	ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 40.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -3.404% (0.0027)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.322%	0.1R	-0.690%	0.2R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.322%	0.1R	-2.092%	0.6R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.322%	0.1R	-2.876%	0.8R	0.1×	48
4.2h ★	+0.322%	0.1R	-2.876%	0.8R	0.1×	49
8h	+0.322%	0.1R	-5.141%	1.5R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.322%	0.1R	-5.741%	1.7R	0.1×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.18

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 32%	late	near 0.4ATR	—	0.51	bear_high	-3.92%	-0.67	06/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	mid	near 0.3ATR	near -0.2ATR	0.40	range_high	+0.21%	-0.13	07/08 00:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	near -0.7ATR	0.53	range_low	+0.12%	+0.70	07/08 01:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bull_medium_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.31	range_low	-0.24%	+0.29	07/08 01:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	34b	—	7.336×ATR	p90	-0.228×ATR	p19
4h	↑ up	mid	7b	—	3.043×ATR	p51	+0.776×ATR	p71
1h	↑ up	late	6b	—	3.814×ATR	p77	+1.856×ATR	p97
15m	↑ up	late	8b	—	4.319×ATR	p91	+1.917×ATR	p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.07660941
tp_price: 0.08129582
atr: 0.00108144
expires_at: 2026-08-07T12:10:09+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 48
score: 0.6863
delta_2h: 0.0809
extension_atr: 2.83
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.735
confidence: 0.986

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	02:10	0.07931300	+0.004%
2	03:10	0.07906600	-0.308%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.07931	0.07661	0.0813	0.74	0.08381

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.07931
Stop Loss: 0.07661
Take Profit: 0.0813

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.07661 - 0.07931 = -0.0027
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.07931 - 0.0813 = -0.00199
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00199 / -0.0027 = 0.737

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
234.6894	100	2959.0286	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0027

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0027 = -2962.96

Taille de position USD = -2962.96 x 0.07931 = -234.99

Donc, tu peux acheter -2962.96 avec un stoploss a 0.07661

Avec un position size USD de -234.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2962.96 x -0.0027 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2962.96 x -0.00199 = 5.9

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.9$

Résumé

Taille de position -2962.96
Taille de position USD -234.99
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.9
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.737

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	5.89 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.4 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-6.6 $	-2.81

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.8761 %	84.48 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.07931	0.07661	0.0813	0.74	0.08381

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.07931
Stop Loss: 0.07661
Take Profit: 0.0813

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.07661 - 0.07931 = -0.0027
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.07931 - 0.0813 = -0.00199
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00199 / -0.0027 = 0.737

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0813
            [entry_price] => 0.07931
            [stop_loss] => 0.07634
            [rr_ratio] => 0.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 10:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0813
            [entry_price] => 0.07931
            [stop_loss] => 0.07607
            [rr_ratio] => 0.61
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 10:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0813
            [entry_price] => 0.07931
            [stop_loss] => 0.0758
            [rr_ratio] => 0.57
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 10:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -3.404% (0.0027)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.322%	0.1R	-0.690%	0.2R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.322%	0.1R	-2.092%	0.6R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.322%	0.1R	-2.876%	0.8R	0.1×	48
4.2h ★	+0.322%	0.1R	-2.876%	0.8R	0.1×	49
8h	+0.322%	0.1R	-5.141%	1.5R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.322%	0.1R	-5.741%	1.7R	0.1×	144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.