Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 81.7 LIT at 2.368$ per unit. Take profit: 2.427 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2699 (4.13 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 03:10:04
hyperliquid
LIT
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 03:10
→ 08:30
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.3678$
Qty 81.6984 LIT
Size 193.4456$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.427 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.84$
SL 2.2699 (-4.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.6
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.84$
MAE -0.97%
MFE +3.47%
0.8R
expires
07 Aug 09:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61340)
#2 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 03:00
score du 07/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9840
Quality Score
0.660
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
17.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 03:02
07/08 03:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 03:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 07/08 03:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6604
Score SMA
0.6780
Rank
#2
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9840
Rank Norm SMA
0.9291
Calculé le
07/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7479 | r1h: -0.396% · r4h: -1.341% · r1d: 8.94% · r3d: 17.38% · ema21_slope: 0.3840% · dist_ema21: 2.255% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7010 | rs_1h: -0.438% · rs_4h: -1.294% · rs_1d: 9.69% · rs_3d: 16.30% · beta_24h: 1.989 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2012 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.701 · trend: -14.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8033 | ADX: 38.8 (trend) · Chop: 40.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.712% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.135%
(0.0979)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.203% | 0.1R | -0.629% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.203% | 0.1R | -0.971% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.310% | 0.6R | -0.971% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.472% | 0.8R | -0.971% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 71 |
| 8h | +5.507% | 1.3R | -0.971% | 0.2R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.507% | 1.3R | -3.417% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.5
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.55 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -2.0ATR | 0.36 | range_high | +0.45% | +0.91 | 07/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.47 | range_low | +0.25% | +0.65 | 07/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.41 | range_low | -0.21% | -0.22 | 07/08 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.275×ATR | p0 | +1.044×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.298×ATR | p88 | +1.253×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.696×ATR | p10 | +0.13×ATR | p11 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.62×ATR | p4 | +0.16×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.26987891
- tp_price: 2.426995
- atr: 0.03916844
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T13:10:03+00:00
Details
- rank: 1
- total: 48
- score: 0.7479
- delta_2h: 0.0252
- extension_atr: 1.25
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.984
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:10 | 2.36780000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:10 | 2.35390000 | -0.587% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3678 | 2.2699 | 2.427 | 0.6 | 4.5102 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3678
- Stop Loss: 2.2699
- Take Profit: 2.427
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2699 - 2.3678 = -0.0979
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3678 - 2.427 = -0.0592
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0592 / -0.0979 = 0.6047
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 193.4456 | 100 | 81.6984 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0979
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0979 = -81.72
Taille de position USD = -81.72 x 2.3678 = -193.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -81.72 avec un stoploss a 2.2699
Avec un position size USD de -193.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -81.72 x -0.0979 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -81.72 x -0.0592 = 4.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.84$
Résumé
- Taille de position -81.72
- Taille de position USD -193.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.84
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6047
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.84 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.84 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9714 % | 23.49 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3678 | 2.2699 | 2.427 | 0.6 | 4.5102 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3678
- Stop Loss: 2.2699
- Take Profit: 2.427
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2699 - 2.3678 = -0.0979
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3678 - 2.427 = -0.0592
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0592 / -0.0979 = 0.6047
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.135%
(0.0979)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.203% | 0.1R | -0.629% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.203% | 0.1R | -0.971% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.310% | 0.6R | -0.971% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.472% | 0.8R | -0.971% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 71 |
| 8h | +5.507% | 1.3R | -0.971% | 0.2R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.507% | 1.3R | -3.417% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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