Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 17424.64 XPL at 0.0775$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07843 (1.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07706 (0.59 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 17424.64 XPL at 0.0775$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07843 (1.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07706 (0.59 %)
Position
Entry 0.07752$
Qty 17424.6384 XPL
Size 1350.6883$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07843 (+1.17%)
TP $ 15.86$
SL 0.07706 (-0.59%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8357
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.41×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.88×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.284462 15m : 0.314765 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 07/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6166 | r1h: -1.231% · r4h: 1.759% · r1d: 6.03% · r3d: 0.61% · ema21_slope: 0.1882% · dist_ema21: 2.355% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5581 | rs_1h: -1.343% · rs_4h: 1.630% · rs_1d: 6.72% · rs_3d: -0.47% · beta_24h: 1.049 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4765 | rvol_20: 1.38× · zscore_50: 0.292 · trend: 37.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7021 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 38.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.441% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.490% | 0.8R | -0.480% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.490% | 0.8R | -1.616% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.490% | 0.8R | -2.353% | 4.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.490% | 0.8R | -3.344% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.490% | 0.8R | -3.564% | 6.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.29 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.39 | range_high | +0.42% | -0.01 | 07/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.53 | range_low | +0.26% | +0.55 | 07/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.33 | range_low | -0.02% | +0.09 | 07/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 6.317×ATR | p85 | +0.408×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.22×ATR | p60 | +0.74×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.803×ATR | p25 | +0.411×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.668×ATR | p75 | -0.641×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64305.1
0.00172335
64416
0.284462
64439.6
-0.00064662
64398
0.314765
64094.1
0.00392859
64346
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
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0.079857
197
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0.4142
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0.6171
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0.5813
0.6633
0.7541
0.1986
0.0841
1
1.2734
1.6428
0.6
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1
2
0.9474
0.5693
0.5679
4.6567
0.75
2.7768
4.739
1.6428
0
0.3136
0.58
0.0499
0.4893
0.5637
0.7981
0.7541
-1.8677
5.7276
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:27 | 0.07751600 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 04:34 | 0.07755100 | +0.04% |
| 3 | 04:57 | 0.07734100 | -0.231% |
| 4 | 05:21 | 0.07721600 | -0.392% |
| 5 | 05:34 | 0.07723500 | -0.368% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 02:25:00 | 0.07636 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:50:00 | 0.076787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:15:00 | 0.076398 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 03:30:00 | 0.077482 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:55:00 | 0.076384 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 04:35:00 | 0.076444 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:10:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 06:55:00 | 0.079565 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:15:00 | 0.078099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:25:00 | 0.077481 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 14:45:00 | 0.075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:00:00 | 0.073848 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:45:00 | 0.075901 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:45:00 | 0.074241 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 0.07657 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:45:00 | 0.07472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 03:30:00 | 0.077482 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:45:00 | 0.076384 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:00:00 | 0.077651 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 0.076282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.078269 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 0.076177 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 0.079029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 0.077722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 0.079925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.076298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 0.074439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.07169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07752 | 0.07706 | 0.07843 | 1.98 | 0.0875 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07706 - 0.07752 = -0.00046
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07752 - 0.07843 = -0.00090999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00090999999999999 / -0.00046 = 1.9783
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1350.6883 | 100 | 17424.6384 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00046 = -17391.3
Taille de position USD = -17391.3 x 0.07752 = -1348.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -17391.3 avec un stoploss a 0.07706
Avec un position size USD de -1348.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -17391.3 x -0.00046 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -17391.3 x -0.00090999999999999 = 15.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.83$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.17 % | 15.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6127 % | 103.25 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07752 | 0.07706 | 0.07843 | 1.98 | 0.0875 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07706 - 0.07752 = -0.00046
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07752 - 0.07843 = -0.00090999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00090999999999999 / -0.00046 = 1.9783
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.490% | 0.8R | -0.480% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.490% | 0.8R | -1.616% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.490% | 0.8R | -2.353% | 4.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.490% | 0.8R | -3.344% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.490% | 0.8R | -3.564% | 6.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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