Long Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 257.84 ACE at 0.136$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1394 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.105 (22.79 %)
Long Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 257.84 ACE at 0.136$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1394 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.105 (22.79 %)
Position
Entry 0.136$
Qty 257.8431 ACE
Size 35.0667$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1394 (+2.5%)
TP $ 0.88$
SL 0.105 (-22.79%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.11
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9787
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 8.21×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7739 | r1h: -4.028% · r4h: 3.057% · r1d: 88.54% · r3d: 107.20% · ema21_slope: 2.2613% · dist_ema21: 18.605% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6766 | rs_1h: -4.516% · rs_4h: 2.475% · rs_1d: 89.02% · rs_3d: 105.55% · beta_24h: -1.530 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7928 | rvol_20: 1.91× · zscore_50: 2.509 · trend: 128.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9547 | ADX: 57.2 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.096% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.088% | 0.1R | -4.779% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.103% | 0.3R | -4.779% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.103% | 0.3R | -12.206% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.103% | 0.3R | -20.441% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.103% | 0.3R | -21.838% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.103% | 0.3R | -21.838% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.32 | bear_high | -3.92% | +1.00 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | — | 0.05 | range_high | +0.42% | +1.00 | 07/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | -0.02 | range_low | +0.65% | +1.00 | 07/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | — | range_low | +0.30% | +0.80 | 07/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.608×ATR | p35 | +2.347×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.09×ATR | p31 | +1.826×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.671×ATR | p10 | +0.557×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.573×ATR | p25 | +0.265×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.136 | 0.105 | 0.1394 | 0.11 | 0.1603 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.105 - 0.136 = -0.031
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.136 - 0.1394 = -0.0034
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0034 / -0.031 = 0.1097
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35.0667 | 35.0667 | 257.8431 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.031 = -258.06
Taille de position USD = -258.06 x 0.136 = -35.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -258.06 avec un stoploss a 0.105
Avec un position size USD de -35.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -258.06 x -0.031 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -258.06 x -0.0034 = 0.88
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 0.88$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 0.88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 22.79 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.88 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6176 % | 7.1 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.136 | 0.105 | 0.1394 | 0.11 | 0.1603 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.105 - 0.136 = -0.031
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.136 - 0.1394 = -0.0034
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0034 / -0.031 = 0.1097
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.088% | 0.1R | -4.779% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.103% | 0.3R | -4.779% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.103% | 0.3R | -12.206% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.103% | 0.3R | -20.441% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.103% | 0.3R | -21.838% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.103% | 0.3R | -21.838% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.