Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 23307.31 XPL at 0.0765$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0772 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07617 (0.44 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 23307.31 XPL at 0.0765$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0772 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07617 (0.44 %)
Position
Entry 0.07651$
Qty 23307.3068 XPL
Size 1783.3586$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0772 (+0.9%)
TP $ 16.08$
SL 0.07617 (-0.44%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8378
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.93×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.88×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.257865 15m : 0.408165 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 07/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 06:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5437 | r1h: -0.333% · r4h: -1.951% · r1d: 6.10% · r3d: 0.75% · ema21_slope: 0.1901% · dist_ema21: 0.971% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4705 | rs_1h: -0.780% · rs_4h: -2.811% · rs_1d: 5.78% · rs_3d: -1.28% · beta_24h: 0.853 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2141 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.627 · trend: -8.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6658 | ADX: 23.0 (weak) · Chop: 41.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.394% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.348% | 0.8R | -1.064% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.429% | 1.0R | -1.064% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.506% | 1.1R | -1.669% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.506% | 1.1R | -2.291% | 5.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.506% | 1.1R | -2.291% | 5.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.29 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.2ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.39 | bull_high | +1.17% | -0.18 | 07/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.52 | bull_low | +0.92% | +0.30 | 07/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.31 | range_low | +0.56% | -0.17 | 07/08 06:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 6.317×ATR | p85 | +0.408×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.767×ATR | p46 | +0.448×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.598×ATR | p57 | -0.096×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.878×ATR | p97 | -0.721×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64481.6
0.00464287
64781
0.257865
64464.8
0.00547744
64818
0.408165
64098
0.0109357
64799
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
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0.079857
195
0.7636
0.6693
0.3263
0.2292
0.4058
1
0.1713
0.6291
0.7198
0.2915
0.6426
0.6703
0.1442
0.0711
1
0.6266
1.069
0.6
0.4
1
4
0.9474
0.5942
0.5679
4.6567
0.65
2.7768
4.739
1.069
0
0.3109
0.3
-0.1328
0.4408
0.5241
0.861
0.6703
-2.8345
5.763
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 03:15:00 | 0.076398 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 03:30:00 | 0.077482 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:55:00 | 0.076384 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 04:35:00 | 0.076444 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:10:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 06:55:00 | 0.079565 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:15:00 | 0.078099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:45:00 | 0.0779 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:50:00 | 0.077232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 10:25:00 | 0.076397 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 14:45:00 | 0.075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:00:00 | 0.073848 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:45:00 | 0.075901 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:45:00 | 0.074241 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 0.07657 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:45:00 | 0.07472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 03:30:00 | 0.077482 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:45:00 | 0.076384 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:00:00 | 0.077029 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.078269 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 0.076177 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 0.079029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 0.077722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 0.079925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.076298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 0.074439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.07169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:00:00 | 0.077029 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07651 | 0.07617 | 0.0772 | 2.03 | 0.08865 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07617 - 0.07651 = -0.00033999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07651 - 0.0772 = -0.00069000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00069000000000001 / -0.00033999999999999 = 2.0294
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1783.3586 | 100 | 23307.3068 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00033999999999999 = -23529.41
Taille de position USD = -23529.41 x 0.07651 = -1800.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -23529.41 avec un stoploss a 0.07617
Avec un position size USD de -1800.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -23529.41 x -0.00033999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -23529.41 x -0.00069000000000001 = 16.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -0.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8365 % | 188.23 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07651 | 0.07617 | 0.0772 | 2.03 | 0.08865 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07617 - 0.07651 = -0.00033999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07651 - 0.0772 = -0.00069000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00069000000000001 / -0.00033999999999999 = 2.0294
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.348% | 0.8R | -1.064% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.429% | 1.0R | -1.064% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.506% | 1.1R | -1.669% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.506% | 1.1R | -2.291% | 5.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.506% | 1.1R | -2.291% | 5.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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