07 Aug 2026 at 08:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_score)

With 53319.11 kBONK at 0.00251$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002661 (5.97 %)

kBONK SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 08:10 → 11:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.002511$

Qty 53319.1149 kBONK

Size 133.8843$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 133.88$

SL 0.002661 (-5.97%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +2.35% / +3.15$ MAE -0.00% MFE +3.15% 0.5R expires 07 Aug 11:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61549)
#39 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4067

Quality Score
0.462
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 08:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#39 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#39 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear
4h clear
1d clear
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

07/08 08:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

06/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

07/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

07/08 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range compression 0
Operational bull expansion -1
Tactical range range 0
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.45
Snapshot évalué : 07/08 08:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4615
Score SMA
0.5004
Rank
#39 / 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4067
Rank Norm SMA
0.5026
Calculé le
07/08/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3104 r1h: 1.005% · r4h: -1.490% · r1d: -9.71% · r3d: -10.64% · ema21_slope: -0.2649% · dist_ema21: -6.769%
Force Relative 25% 0.2506 rs_1h: 0.786% · rs_4h: -2.599% · rs_1d: -10.33% · rs_3d: -12.36% · beta_24h: 1.108
Volume 20% 0.4902 rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.292 · trend: 162.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7178 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 9.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.081% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.974% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.549% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R 12
2h +2.549% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R 24
3h ★ +3.146% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R 36
4h +3.146% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R 48
8h +3.823% 0.6R -0.040% 0.0R 96.1× 96
12h +3.823% 0.6R -0.040% 0.0R 96.1× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.21
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 33% late 0.68 bear_high -3.92% +0.20 06/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
41%
noisy_chop 42% late 0.49 bull_high +1.40% -0.88 07/08 04:00
1h ↓ down range range weak fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
42%
noisy_chop 48% late 0.44 bull_low_confirmed +1.21% -0.75 07/08 07:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high
42%
choppy 48% late range_low +0.75% -0.83 07/08 07:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 34b 11.667×ATR p92 -0.289×ATR p32
4h ↓ down late 2b 4.941×ATR p78 -2.532×ATR p99
1h ↓ down late 4b 6.103×ATR p96 -1.678×ATR p93
15m ↓ down late 18b 9.67×ATR p100 -0.215×ATR p19

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00266104
  2. atr: 5.001E-5
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-07T15:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 50
  2. total: 51
  3. score: 0.3104
  4. confidence: 0.98

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002511 0.002661 0.00291
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002511
  • Stop Loss: 0.002661
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002661 - 0.002511 = 0.00015

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002511 - = 0.002511

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002511 / 0.00015 = 16.74

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
133.8843 100 53319.1149 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00015

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00015 = 53333.33

Taille de position USD = 53333.33 x 0.002511 = 133.92

Donc, tu peux acheter 53333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.002661

Avec un position size USD de 133.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 53333.33 x 0.00015 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 53333.33 x 0.002511 = 133.92

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 133.92$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 53333.33
  • Taille de position USD 133.92
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 133.92
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 16.74

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 133.88 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.97 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.15 $ 2.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002511 0.002661 0.00291
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002511
  • Stop Loss: 0.002661
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002661 - 0.002511 = 0.00015

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002511 - = 0.002511

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002511 / 0.00015 = 16.74

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.974% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.549% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R 12
2h +2.549% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R 24
3h ★ +3.146% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R 36
4h +3.146% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R 48
8h +3.823% 0.6R -0.040% 0.0R 96.1× 96
12h +3.823% 0.6R -0.040% 0.0R 96.1× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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