Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_score)
With 53319.11 kBONK at 0.00251$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002661 (5.97 %)
Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_score)
With 53319.11 kBONK at 0.00251$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002661 (5.97 %)
Position
Entry 0.002511$
Qty 53319.1149 kBONK
Size 133.8843$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 133.88$
SL 0.002661 (-5.97%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4067
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 08:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3104 | r1h: 1.005% · r4h: -1.490% · r1d: -9.71% · r3d: -10.64% · ema21_slope: -0.2649% · dist_ema21: -6.769% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2506 | rs_1h: 0.786% · rs_4h: -2.599% · rs_1d: -10.33% · rs_3d: -12.36% · beta_24h: 1.108 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4902 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.292 · trend: 162.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7178 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 9.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.081% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.549% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.549% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.146% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +3.146% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.823% | 0.6R | -0.040% | 0.0R | 96.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.823% | 0.6R | -0.040% | 0.0R | 96.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.20 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.40% | -0.88 | 07/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.44 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.21% | -0.75 | 07/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
42%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.75% | -0.83 | 07/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 11.667×ATR | p92 | -0.289×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 4.941×ATR | p78 | -2.532×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 6.103×ATR | p96 | -1.678×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 9.67×ATR | p100 | -0.215×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002511 | 0.002661 | 0.00291 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002661 - 0.002511 = 0.00015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002511 - = 0.002511
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002511 / 0.00015 = 16.74
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133.8843 | 100 | 53319.1149 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00015 = 53333.33
Taille de position USD = 53333.33 x 0.002511 = 133.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 53333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.002661
Avec un position size USD de 133.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 53333.33 x 0.00015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 53333.33 x 0.002511 = 133.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 133.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 133.88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.97 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.15 $ | 2.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002511 | 0.002661 | 0.00291 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002661 - 0.002511 = 0.00015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002511 - = 0.002511
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002511 / 0.00015 = 16.74
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.549% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.549% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.146% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +3.146% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.823% | 0.6R | -0.040% | 0.0R | 96.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.823% | 0.6R | -0.040% | 0.0R | 96.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.