Long Trade on ETH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.31 ETH at 1930.7$ per unit. Take profit: 1994.3833 (3.3 %) & Stop Loss: 1905.2267 (1.32 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 09:06:26
hyperliquid
ETH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 09:06
→ 13:00
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 1930.7$
Qty 0.3141 ETH
Size 606.3447$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 1994.3833 (+3.3%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1905.2267 (-1.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.32%
/ -8$
MAE -1.35%
MFE +0.17%
0.1R
expires
07 Aug 21:06
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61572)
#3 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 09:00
score du 07/08/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6353
Quality Score
0.666
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.01B $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 09:00
07/08 09:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.71×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.81×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 09:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 07/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.45
Snapshot évalué : 07/08 09:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6660
Score SMA
0.5219
Rank
#3
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6353
Rank Norm SMA
0.5838
Calculé le
07/08/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5736 | r1h: 0.689% · r4h: 0.990% · r1d: 1.59% · r3d: 2.88% · ema21_slope: 0.0113% · dist_ema21: 1.064% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5351 | rs_1h: 0.472% · rs_4h: 0.115% · rs_1d: 0.43% · rs_3d: 0.91% · beta_24h: 0.905 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8156 | rvol_20: 2.53× · zscore_50: 1.942 · trend: 70.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6469 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 36.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.474% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.319%
(25.4733)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.067% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.093% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.336% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.352% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.352% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.352% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -2.70% | +0.32 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.88 | bull_high | +1.49% | +0.11 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_medium_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.87 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.39% | +0.01 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.78 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.06% | -0.00 | 07/08 09:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 42b | — | 7.065×ATR | p87 | +0.642×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 25b | — | 4.859×ATR | p79 | +0.807×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.806×ATR | p79 | +1.861×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.327×ATR | p48 | +1.164×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9239
- reason: up_bo width=2.89×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 1905.22669931
- tp_price: 1994.38325171
- atr:
- score: 0.85388570368172
- expires_at: 2026-08-08T01:06:18.584660
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85388570368172
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2377
- obi_top10 : 0.2377
- micro_price : 1930.13074171
- spread_pct : 0.000518
- mid_price : 1930.135
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2326
- obi_top5_std : 0.0116
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7277
- aggregation_tick : 10
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1918.7
- balance_zone_bottom:
1893.5
- balance_zone_mid:
1906.1
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785981600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786107600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8856
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
36
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8539
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786104000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1918.7
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9444
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.3741
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 8.73300685 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.9444
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3741
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:06 | 1930.70000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:12 | 1930.70000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 09:18 | 1928.10000000 | -0.135% |
| 4 | 09:24 | 1928.10000000 | -0.135% |
| 5 | 09:30 | 1928.10000000 | -0.135% |
| 6 | 09:36 | 1931.60000000 | +0.047% |
| 7 | 09:42 | 1931.60000000 | +0.047% |
| 8 | 09:48 | 1931.60000000 | +0.047% |
| 9 | 09:54 | 1931.60000000 | +0.047% |
| 10 | 10:00 | 1931.60000000 | +0.047% |
| 11 | 10:36 | 1921.70000000 | -0.466% |
| 12 | 10:42 | 1921.70000000 | -0.466% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7277ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
92%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.238
avg 0.233
± 0.012
OBI Top 10
0.238
Microstructure
Mid Price
1,930.1350
Micro Price
1,930.1307
Spread
0.0005%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1930.7 | 1905.2267 | 1994.3833 | 2.5 | 2504 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1930.7
- Stop Loss: 1905.2267
- Take Profit: 1994.3833
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1905.2267 - 1930.7 = -25.4733
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1930.7 - 1994.3833 = -63.6833
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -63.6833 / -25.4733 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 606.3447 | 100 | 0.3141 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -25.4733
Taille de position = 8 / -25.4733 = -0.31
Taille de position USD = -0.31 x 1930.7 = -598.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.31 avec un stoploss a 1905.2267
Avec un position size USD de -598.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.31 x -25.4733 = 7.9
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.9$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.31 x -63.6833 = 19.74
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.74$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.31
- Taille de position USD -598.52
- Perte potentielle 7.9
- Gain potentiel 19.74
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.3 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3363 % | 101.28 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1930.7 | 1905.2267 | 1994.3833 | 2.5 | 2504 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1930.7
- Stop Loss: 1905.2267
- Take Profit: 1994.3833
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1905.2267 - 1930.7 = -25.4733
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1930.7 - 1994.3833 = -63.6833
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -63.6833 / -25.4733 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.319%
(25.4733)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.067% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.093% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.336% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.352% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.352% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.171% | 0.1R | -1.352% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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