Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 3198.11 ETHFI at 0.378$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3831 (1.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3756 (0.66 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 3198.11 ETHFI at 0.378$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3831 (1.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3756 (0.66 %)
Position
Entry 0.3781$
Qty 3198.1067 ETHFI
Size 1209.3321$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3831 (+1.32%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 0.3756 (-0.66%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6143
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.46×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.54×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.70×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 07/08 10:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.158507 15m : 0.333061 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6774 | r1h: 0.273% · r4h: 5.276% · r1d: 7.39% · r3d: 2.77% · ema21_slope: 0.2033% · dist_ema21: 4.692% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6833 | rs_1h: 0.258% · rs_4h: 4.552% · rs_1d: 6.06% · rs_3d: 0.24% · beta_24h: 1.366 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6030 | rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 0.475 · trend: 111.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7093 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 28.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.298% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.576% | 2.4R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 8.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.799% | 2.7R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 10.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.116% | 4.7R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 17.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.116% | 4.7R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 17.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.116% | 4.7R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 17.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.92 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.19% | -0.43 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
choppy 49% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.22% | +0.56 | 07/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.66% | +0.35 | 07/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 3.437×ATR | p24 | -0.085×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.283×ATR | p55 | +1.314×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.455×ATR | p2 | +1.139×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.201×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64867.6
0.00200903
64998
0.158507
64624.4
0.00678548
65063
0.333061
64164.8
0.0139349
65059
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0.4442
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0.3094
0.5628
0.5845
0.904
0.6331
0.5729
0.2648
0.1076
1
2.1587
2.6024
0.35
0.65
1
2
1
0.5243
0.456
7.9139
0.65
2.9437
8.9129
2.6024
0
0.3267
0.84
0.3415
0.56
0.5313
0.7155
0.5729
-4.4599
5.9832
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 09:00:00 | 0.36612 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 09:50:00 | 0.36799 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:25:00 | 0.36424 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:20:00 | 0.38297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:35:00 | 0.38327 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 0.38792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:10:00 | 0.3819 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:30:00 | 0.38744 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:10:00 | 0.38029 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:50:00 | 0.37753 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 0.35676 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 0.36386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:15:00 | 0.36417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 0.35911 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:30:00 | 0.36807 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:45:00 | 0.36433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 08:30:00 | 0.36829 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:15:00 | 0.36424 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 0.38792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 0.38029 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 0.3559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.34887 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.36847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.35971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:00:00 | 0.37248 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 0.37491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 09:00:00 | 0.35276 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.36201 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 0.34868 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 0.38792 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3781 | 0.3756 | 0.3831 | 2 | 0.5972 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3756 - 0.3781 = -0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3781 - 0.3831 = -0.005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.005 / -0.0025 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1209.3321 | 100 | 3198.1067 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0025 = -3200
Taille de position USD = -3200 x 0.3781 = -1209.92
Donc, tu peux acheter -3200 avec un stoploss a 0.3756
Avec un position size USD de -1209.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3200 x -0.0025 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3200 x -0.005 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.32 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 1.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1798 % | 27.19 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3781 | 0.3756 | 0.3831 | 2 | 0.5972 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3756 - 0.3781 = -0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3781 - 0.3831 = -0.005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.005 / -0.0025 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.576% | 2.4R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 8.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.799% | 2.7R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 10.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.116% | 4.7R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 17.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.116% | 4.7R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 17.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.116% | 4.7R | -0.180% | 0.3R | 17.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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